The effects of improved survival on fertility: A reassessment

Abstract

The purpose of this chapter is to reassesses mortality-fertility links in the context of less developed countries. In the first section the author examines the nature of pretransitional reproductive regimes. He then describes the massive disruption to these regimes caused by the mortality declines in the early half of the 20th century and follows this account by distilling explanatory lessons from the evidence about fertility transitions in the second half of that century. He then assembles these building blocks in support of the conclusion that demographer Kingsley Davis who states that large mortality declines will stimulate corresponding adjustments in fertility was essentially correct. Mortality decline is indeed the common underlying cause – both necessary and sufficient – of the fertility declines that have swept across most of the developing world in the past 40 years. (excerpt modified)

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