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Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World
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Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World (2011)Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Chan…Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)Making and Evaluating Point F…The Time-Varying Volatility of Macroeconomic Fluctuations (2008)The Time-Varying Volatility o…Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast? (2007)Why Has U.S. Inflation Become…Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules…Were There Regime Switches in U.S. Monetary Policy? (2006)Were There Regime Switches in…What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? (2005)What does the yield curve tel…Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions and Monetary Policy (2005)Time Varying Structural Vecto…The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach (2005)The macroeconomy and the yiel…Drifts and volatilities: monetary policies and outcomes in the post WWII US (2005)Drifts and volatilities: mone…Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models (2002)Bayesian Analysis of Stochast…Evolving Post-World War II U.S. Inflation Dynamics (2001)Evolving Post-World War II U.…Forecasting inflation (1999)Forecasting inflationStochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models (1998)Stochastic Volatility: Likeli…Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)Testing the equality of predi…Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root (1996)Efficient Tests for an Autore…The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates (1987)The Information in Long-Matur…Time-Varying Combinations of Predictive Densities Using Nonlinear Filtering (2012)Time-Varying Combinations of …Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time‐varying weights (2009)Forecast accuracy and economi…Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series (1988)Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory. (1993)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability (2006)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness (2007)Generación de series de tiempo financieras sintéticas para "data augmentation" usando redes neuronales generativas adversarias (GAN) (2021)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)5 Stochastic volatility (1996)Range‐Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models (2002)Do Stock Prices and Volatility Jump? Reconciling Evidence from Spot and Option Prices (2004)A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return (1987)Stochastic Simulation (1987)The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities (1987)Non-Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck-based Models and Some of Their Uses in Financial Economics (2001)Econometric Analysis of Realized Volatility and its Use in Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models (2002)Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps (2004)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Time Series Regression with a Unit Root (1987)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)LAG Length Selection and the Construction of Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power (2001)Unit root tests for panel data (2001)A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence (2007)Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point (1993)Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why? (2002)Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks (2011)Risk Premiums in Dynamic Term Structure Models with Unspanned Macro Risks (2013)Government Spending Multipliers in Good Times and in Bad: Evidence from US Historical Data (2017)Econometric policy evaluation: A critique (1976)Discretion versus policy rules in practice (1993)Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory* (2000)Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory of Identification and Algorithms for Inference (2009)Refined Measures of Dynamic Connectedness based on Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressions (2020)A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy (2005)Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach (2010)Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation (2016)INTEREST AND PRICES: FOUNDATIONS OF A THEORY OF MONETARY POLICY (2005)
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References

  • 2007Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation5,771 cited
  • 1996Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root5,637 cited
  • 2005Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions and Monetary Policy3,044 cited
  • 1998Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models2,265 cited
  • 1997Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors2,103 cited
  • 2005Drifts and volatilities: monetary policies and outcomes in the post WWII US1,955 cited
  • 2007Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?1,719 cited
  • 2006Were There Regime Switches in U.S. Monetary Policy?1,607 cited
  • 1987The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates1,552 cited
  • 2002Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models1,363 cited
  • 1999Forecasting inflation1,273 cited
  • 2011Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts1,159 cited
  • 2005The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach967 cited
  • 2001Evolving Post-World War II U.S. Inflation Dynamics914 cited
  • 2008The Time-Varying Volatility of Macroeconomic Fluctuations844 cited
  • 2005

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What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?
815 cited

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  • 2012Time-Varying Combinations of Predictive Densities Using Nonlinear Filtering62 cited
  • 2009Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time‐varying weights58 cited