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Information, forecasts, and measurement of the business cycle · Study

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ArticleInformation, forecasts, and measurement of the business cycle

George W. Evans1994

Article1994

Information, forecasts, and measurement of the business cycle

George W. Evans · Lucrezia Reichlin

130 citations·0/0 files stored·Journal of Monetary Economics

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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Forecasting Techniques and Applications Unemployment and Economic Growth

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References

1991Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models 1982Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series 1988The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances 1988Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series 1981A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the ‘business cycle’1986Univariate detrending methods with stochastic trends 1985Trends and Cycles in Macroeconomic Time Series 1994VAR analysis, nonfundamental representations, blaschke matrices

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2017Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 2021Measurement of the Output Gap: A Discussion of Recent Research at the Bank of Canada 2006Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling 2019Global factors and trend inflation 2006Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals

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2021Measurement of the Output Gap: A Discussion of Recent Research at the Bank of Canadaarticle · 7 shared references 1996Time-Series-Based Econometricsbook · 7 shared references 1997A Comparison of Alternative Methodologies for Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gappreprint · 7 shared references 1999A survey of alternative methodologies for estimating potential output and the output gaparticle · 7 shared references 2003Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different?article · 6 shared references 1994Chapter 46 Unit roots, structural breaks and trendschapter · 6 shared references

Details

Year1994

Typearticle

Published1994-04-01

VenueJournal of Monetary Economics

ISSN-L0304-3932

Languageen

Citations130

Files0 public / 0

ShelfMonetary Policy and Economic Impact

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doi10.1016/0304-3932(94)90002-7

openalex_workW1972689306

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2019

Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions

2008The relationship between the Beveridge–Nelson decomposition and other permanent–transitory decompositions that are popular in economics

2000Inflation and Real Disequilibria