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Why isp = .90 better thanp = .70? Preference for definitive predictions by lay consumers of probability judgments
16 references·12 citing·33 second hop
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References

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  • 1983Intuitive Physics

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620 cited

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  • 2015There is a 60% probability, but I am 70% certain: communicative consequences of external and internal expressions of uncertainty30 cited
  • 2001The probability—outcome correspondence principle: A dispositional view of the interpretation of probability statements27 cited
  • 2015Confidence in Dyadic Decision Making: The Role of Individual Differences25 cited
  • 2017Probabilities Associated with Precise and Vague Forecasts20 cited
  • 2013The Probability of Guilt in Criminal Cases: Are People Aware of Being ‘Beyond Reasonable Doubt’?19 cited
  • 2010Subjective recalibration of advisors' probability estimates16 cited
  • 2022Confidently at your service: Advisors alter their stated confidence to be helpful12 cited
  • 2018A ratings pattern heuristic in judgments of expertise: When being right Looks wrong10 cited
  • 2007KNOWLEDGE-BASED CHOICE0 cited
  • 2007Why is "Quite Certain" More Informative Than "Slight Possibility"? Information Theoretic Analysis of the Informativeness of Probability Statements0 cited