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Subjective recalibration of advisors' probability estimates · Study

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ArticleSubjective recalibration of advisors' probability estimates

Yaron Shlomi2010

OA

Articlebronze2010

Subjective recalibration of advisors' probability estimates

Yaron Shlomi · Thomas S. Wallsten

16 citations·0/0 files stored·Psychonomic Bulletin & Review

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Forecasting Techniques and Applications Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills

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References

1994Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes.1990Judgment and decision making 1988Multinomial modeling and the measurement of cognitive processes.1982External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score 1978Subjectively weighted utility: A descriptive extension of the expected utility model 2003Intuitive evaluation of likelihood judgment producers: evidence for a confidence heuristic 1974Hypotheses about relations between scaled variables in the learning of probabilistic inference tasks 1997Evaluating and Combining Subjective Probability Estimates

Cited by

2014Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme 2014Accuracy of forecasts in strategic intelligence 2013Forecast aggregation via recalibration 2015Modeling Probability Forecasts via Information Diversity 2013A cautionary note on global recalibration

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Details

Year2010

Typearticle

Published2010-08-01

VenuePsychonomic Bulletin & Review

ISSN-L1069-9384

Languageen

Citations16

Files0 public / 0

ShelfDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

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doi10.3758/pbr.17.4.492

openalex_workW2032009356

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