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Can Knowledge Improve Forecasts?

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References

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Cited by

2014Joint probabilistic projection of female and male life expectancy81 cited
1984Projection, Forecast, and Plan On the Future of Population Forecasting76 cited
2004

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Population Projections

66 cited

1997Scenarios, Uncertainty and Conditional Forecasts of the World Population63 cited

1995Simple versus complex models: Evaluation, accuracy, and combining54 cited

1984An assessment of the accuracy of a regional economic-demographic projection model51 cited

2005Biographic forecasting: bridging the micro-macro gap in population forecasting49 cited

2009Can knowledge improve population forecasts at subcounty levels?48 cited

1998Knowledge Can Improve Forecasts: A Review of Selected Socioeconomic Population Projection Models43 cited

1998Introduction: The Need to Rethink Approaches to Population Forecasts41 cited

2001Data quality and accuracy of United Nations population projections, 1950-9540 cited

1995Complexity, accuracy, and utility of official population projections39 cited

1995Population forecasting: Do simple models outperform complex models?39 cited

1995Between a rock and a hard place: The evaluation of demographic forecasts37 cited

2019Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting26 cited

1985A Time Series Model for Cohort Data24 cited