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A Test of the Knew‐It‐All‐Along Effect in the 1984 Presidential and Statewide Elections1
5 references·16 citing·36 second hop
A Test of the Knew‐It‐All‐Along Effect in the 1984 Presidential and Statewide Elections1 (1988)A Test of the Knew‐It‐All‐Along Effect in…Judgment under uncertainty: Causality and attribution (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: C…Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Judgment under UncertaintyOn the psychology of experimental surprises. (1977)On the psychology of experime…I knew it would happen (1975)I knew it would happenAvailability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…SARA: A cognitive process model to simulate the anchoring effect and hindsight bias (2003)SARA: A cognitive process mod…Hindsight bias in political elections (2003)Hindsight bias in political e…Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives (2002)Understanding Misunderstandin…Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics” (2002)Sympathetic Magical Thinking:…Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They “Should” (2002)Self-Anchoring in Conversatio…Probability Judgment across Cultures (2002)Probability Judgment across C…Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Realit…Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem (2002)Mental Contamination and the …Hindsight Bias Around the World (2002)Hindsight Bias Around the Wor…Hindsight Bias Around the World (2002)Hindsight Bias Around the Wor…Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting (2002)Durability Bias in Affective …Do Analysts Overreact? (2002)Do Analysts Overreact?Automated Choice Heuristics (2002)Automated Choice HeuristicsAccessibility experiences and the hindsight bias: I knew it all along versus it could never have happened (2002)Accessibility experiences and…Does a Surprising Outcome Reinforce or Reverse the Hindsight Bias? (1997)Does a Surprising Outcome Rei…Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions. (1995)Resistance of personal risk p…Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)Self-Efficacy: The Exercise of Control (1999)The influence of inhibitory processes on affective theory of mind in young and old adults (2013)The Effects of Racial Hate Tweets on Perceived Political Polarization and the Roles of Negative Emotions and Individuation (2021)Understanding and combating misperceived polarization (2021)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process (1977)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)The Dishonesty of Honest People: A Theory of Self-Concept Maintenance (2008)Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. (1974)Explaining Bargaining Impasse: The Role of Self-Serving Biases (1997)HARKing: Hypothesizing After the Results are Known (1998)A power primer. (1992)(The Lack of) Optimistic Biases in Response to the 1994 Northridge Earthquake: The Role of Personal Experience (1999)Behavioral Law and Economics (2007)Risk perception and optimism during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic (2021)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Chapter 1 The Introspection Illusion (2009)Chapter 4 Shallow Cues With Deep Effects: Trait Judgments From Faces and Voting Decisions (2009)Critical Thinking Education and Debiasing (AILACT Essay Prize Winner 2013) (2014)The Two Forms of Belief in a Just World (1998)Revisiting positionality and the thesis of situated knowledge (2019)The Oxford Handbook of Experimental Semantics and Pragmatics (2019)Everyday magical powers: The role of apparent mental causation in the overestimation of personal influence. (2006)Information Markets: A New Way of Making Decisions (2009)What's in a Term? Paranormal, Superstitious, Magical and Supernatural Beliefs by Any Other Name Would Mean the Same (2012)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)Perception of Risk (1987)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)Introduction: epistemic communities and international policy coordination (1992)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 1982Judgment under Uncertainty8,238 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Causality and attribution4,616 cited
  • 1975I knew it would happen716 cited
  • 1977On the psychology of experimental surprises.488 cited

Cited by

  • 2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives289 cited
  • 2002Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”191 cited
  • 1995Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions.166 cited
  • 2002Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem160 cited
  • 2002Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives119 cited
  • 2002Automated Choice Heuristics101 cited
  • 2003SARA: A cognitive process model to simulate the anchoring effect and hindsight bias85 cited
  • 2002Do Analysts Overreact?82 cited
  • 2002Accessibility experiences and the hindsight bias: I knew it all along versus it could never have happened75 cited
  • 2003Hindsight bias in political elections70 cited
  • 1997

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Does a Surprising Outcome Reinforce or Reverse the Hindsight Bias?
69 cited
  • 2002Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They “Should”67 cited
  • 2002Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting66 cited
  • 2002Hindsight Bias Around the World63 cited
  • 2002Hindsight Bias Around the World58 cited
  • 2002Probability Judgment across Cultures54 cited