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Facilitating Normative Judgments of Conditional Probability: Frequency or Nested Sets?
10 references·16 citing·37 second hop
Facilitating Normative Judgments of Conditional Probability: Frequency or Nested Sets? (2003)Facilitating Normative Judgments of Condi…Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not (2002)Representation facilitates re…Frequency, Probability, and Prediction: Easy Solutions to Cognitive Illusions? (1999)Frequency, Probability, and P…Why the distinction between single-event probabilities and frequencies is important for psychology (and vice versa) (1994)Why the distinction between s…Conflict between intuitive and rational processing: When people behave against their better judgment. (1994)Conflict between intuitive an…How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases” (1991)How to Make Cognitive Illusio…Intuitive reasoning about probability: Theoretical and experimental analyses of the “problem of three prisoners” (1989)Intuitive reasoning about pro…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …Judgments of and by representativeness (1982)Judgments of and by represent…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Different Visualizations Cause Different Strategies When Dealing With Bayesian Situations (2020)Different Visualizations Caus…How to Improve Performance in Bayesian Inference Tasks: A Comparison of Five Visualizations (2019)How to Improve Performance in…Why Can Only 24% Solve Bayesian Reasoning Problems in Natural Frequencies: Frequency Phobia in Spite of Probability Blindness (2018)Why Can Only 24% Solve Bayesi…The rational status of quantum cognition. (2017)The rational status of quantu…Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting. (2016)Developing expert political j…The conjunction fallacy, confirmation, and quantum theory: Comment on Tentori, Crupi, and Russo (2013). 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A test of the nested-sets hypothesis in an extensional reasoning task (2008)Frequency formats, probabilit…Enhancing probabilistic reasoning: The role of causal graphs, statistical format and numerical skills (2008)Enhancing probabilistic reaso…Converging evidence supports fuzzy-trace theory's nested sets hypothesis, but not the frequency hypothesis (2007)Converging evidence supports …Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning. (1983)Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions. (1995)Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics” (2002)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Situation Awareness-Based Agent Transparency (2014)How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats. (1995)Numeric, Verbal, and Visual Formats of Conveying Health Risks: Suggested Best Practices and Future Recommendations (2007)Rationality in Economics: Constructivist and Ecological Forms (2007)Probability Information in Risk Communication: A Review of the Research Literature (2008)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)On the reality of cognitive illusions. (1996)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Measuring Expectations (2004)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)A stitch in time: Self-regulation and proactive coping. (1997)Reflective and Impulsive Determinants of Social Behavior (2004)A framework for examining leadership in extreme contexts (2009)Expert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique (2001)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Individual differences in rational thought. (1998)Risk as Analysis and Risk as Feelings: Some Thoughts about Affect, Reason, Risk, and Rationality (2004)Risk perceptions and health behavior (2015)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 1991How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases”1,160 cited
  • 1994Conflict between intuitive and rational processing: When people behave against their better judgment.810 cited
  • 1982Judgments of and by representativeness632 cited
  • 1994Why the distinction between single-event probabilities and frequencies is important for psychology (and vice versa)259 cited
  • 2002Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not252 cited
  • 1999Frequency, Probability, and Prediction: Easy Solutions to Cognitive Illusions?137 cited
  • 1989Intuitive reasoning about probability: Theoretical and experimental analyses of the “problem of three prisoners”130 cited

Cited by

  • 2009Semantic coherence and fallacies in estimating joint probabilities59 cited
  • 2012Evolutionary modules and Bayesian facilitation: The role of general cognitive resources52 cited
  • 2015Good fences make for good neighbors but bad science: a review of what improves Bayesian reasoning and why51 cited
  • 2013The effect of iconicity of visual displays on statistical reasoning: evidence in favor of the null hypothesis

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45 cited
  • 2015Comprehension and computation in Bayesian problem solving43 cited
  • 2019How to Improve Performance in Bayesian Inference Tasks: A Comparison of Five Visualizations42 cited
  • 2017The rational status of quantum cognition.40 cited
  • 2007Converging evidence supports fuzzy-trace theory's nested sets hypothesis, but not the frequency hypothesis34 cited
  • 2018Why Can Only 24% Solve Bayesian Reasoning Problems in Natural Frequencies: Frequency Phobia in Spite of Probability Blindness33 cited
  • 2013Words, numbers, & numeracy: Diminishing individual differences in Bayesian reasoning32 cited
  • 2015The conjunction fallacy, confirmation, and quantum theory: Comment on Tentori, Crupi, and Russo (2013).27 cited
  • 2020Different Visualizations Cause Different Strategies When Dealing With Bayesian Situations26 cited
  • 2008Enhancing probabilistic reasoning: The role of causal graphs, statistical format and numerical skills24 cited
  • 2016Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting.23 cited
  • 2015Beating the base-rate fallacy: an experimental approach on the effectiveness of different information presentation formats21 cited
  • 2008Frequency formats, probability formats, or problem structure? A test of the nested-sets hypothesis in an extensional reasoning task21 cited