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Improving the way we think about projecting future energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide
16 references·15 citing·43 second hop
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(1983)Societal Risk Assessment: How…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…A progress report on the training of probability assessors (1982)A progress report on the trai…FACTS AND FEARS: UNDERSTANDING PERCEIVED RISK. (1980)FACTS AND FEARS: UNDERSTANDIN…Facts and Fears: Understanding Perceived Risk (1980)Facts and Fears: Understandin…Judged frequency of lethal events. (1978)Judged frequency of lethal ev…Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation. 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(1982)Risk Perceptions, General Environmental Beliefs, and Willingness to Address Climate Change (1999)Households' Perceived Personal Risk and Responses in a Multihazard Environment (2008)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)The "Stern Review" on the Economics of Climate Change (2006)Household actions can provide a behavioral wedge to rapidly reduce US carbon emissions (2009)Natural climate solutions (2017)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)The weirdest people in the world? 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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 2000Special report on emissions scenarios3,422 cited
  • 2004Stabilization Wedges: Solving the Climate Problem for the Next 50 Years with Current Technologies3,112 cited
  • 1990Uncertainty1,711 cited
  • 1978Judged frequency of lethal events.1,550 cited
  • 1980Facts and Fears: Understanding Perceived Risk1,301 cited
  • 1994Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.1,159 cited
  • 2001Principles of forecasting : a handbook for researchers and practitioners1,045 cited
  • 1982A progress report on the training of probability assessors859 cited
  • 1978Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation.708 cited
  • 2014Cognition and Social Behavior651 cited
  • 2002Principles of Forecasting. A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners517 cited
  • 1983Societal Risk Assessment: How Safe is Safe Enough?479 cited

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1980
FACTS AND FEARS: UNDERSTANDING PERCEIVED RISK.
442 cited

Cited by

  • 2018Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: a tale of turning around in no time?125 cited
  • 2016Social Climate Science106 cited
  • 2022Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights102 cited
  • 2016Reinvigorating the scenario technique to expand uncertainty consideration91 cited
  • 2020Distorting the view of our climate future: The misuse and abuse of climate pathways and scenarios86 cited
  • 2022IPCC emission scenarios: How did critiques affect their quality and relevance 1990–2022?86 cited
  • 2023The feasibility of climate action: Bridging the inside and the outside view through feasibility spaces74 cited
  • 2013Objectivity and a comparison of methodological scenario approaches for climate change research67 cited
  • 2016The diversity of socio-economic pathways and CO2 emissions scenarios: Insights from the investigation of a scenarios database67 cited
  • 2023Sustainable Supply Chain Risk Management in a Climate-Changed World: Review of Extant Literature, Trend Analysis, and Guiding Framework for Future Research46 cited
  • 2017Empirical prediction intervals improve energy forecasting43 cited
  • 2023Probabilistic projections of granular energy technology diffusion at subnational level33 cited
  • 2021The concept of plausibility in a risk analysis context: Review and clarifications of defining ideas and interpretations22 cited
  • 2017Communicating energy system modelling to the wider public: An analysis of German media coverage16 cited
  • 2017How Individuals and Organizations Actually Make Decisions0 cited