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Comparison of a new expert elicitation model with the Classical Model, equal weights and single experts, using a cross-validation technique
10 references·4 citing·35 second hop
Comparison of a new expert elicitation model with the Classical Model, equal weights and single experts, using a cross-validation technique (2011)Comparison of a new expert elicitation mo…A route to more tractable expert advice (2010)A route to more tractable exp…Developing an Event Tree for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment at Vesuvius (2008)Developing an Event Tree for …Comment on Cooke's classical method (2008)Comment on Cooke's classical …TU Delft expert judgment data base (2007)TU Delft expert judgment data…The ‘Heuristics and Biases’ Bias in Expert Elicitation (2007)The ‘Heuristics and Biases’ B…On the performance of social network and likelihood-based expert weighting schemes (2007)On the performance of social …Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (2006)Uncertain Judgements: Eliciti…Heuristics and Biases (2002)Heuristics and BiasesThe Mathematics of Natural Catastrophes (1999)The Mathematics of Natural Ca…Experts in uncertainty (1993)Experts in uncertaintyWeighting and aggregating expert ecological judgments (2020)Weighting and aggregating exp…Eliciting improved quantitative judgements using the IDEA protocol: A case study in natural resource management (2018)Eliciting improved quantitati…Quantifying scientific uncertainty from expert judgement elicitation (2013)Quantifying scientific uncert…Combining Experts’ Judgments: Comparison of Algorithmic Methods Using Synthetic Data (2012)Combining Experts’ Judgments:…the delphi method: techniques and applications (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Thinking, Fast and Slow (2011)The Aggregation of Expert Judgment: Do Good Things Come to Those Who Weight? (2015)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science (2012)Guidance on Expert Knowledge Elicitation in Food and Feed Safety Risk Assessment (2014)Bayesian belief networks for human reliability analysis: A review of applications and gaps (2015)Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: The example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius (2004)BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting (2007)Reviewing and visualizing the interactions of natural hazards (2014)Hazard interactions and interaction networks (cascades) within multi-hazard methodologies (2016)Multi-risk assessment in mountain regions: A review of modelling approaches for climate change adaptation (2018)Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography (1986)Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling (2006)Integrated Risk and Uncertainty Assessment of Climate Change Response Policies (2015)Expert Elicitation: Using the Classical Model to Validate Experts’ Judgments (2017)Experts In Uncertainty (1991)Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science (1992)Essential Epidemiology: An Introduction for Students and Health Professionals (2012)Global Volcanic Hazards and Risk (2015)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)Mathematically aggregating experts’ predictions of possible futures (2021)Volcanic disasters and incidents: A new database (2005)Extreme natural hazards: population growth, globalization and environmental change (2006)Impact of explosive eruption scenarios at Vesuvius (2008)Model Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Analysis (2012)Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow (2016)The Implicit Association Test at Age 7: A Methodological and Conceptual Review (2007)If I Look at the Mass I Will Never Act: Psychic Numbing and Genocide (2010)Psychological research and global climate change (2015)Basic principles of multi-risk assessment: a case study in Italy (2012)Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds (2014)
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References

  • 2006Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities1,549 cited
  • 2002Heuristics and Biases506 cited
  • 1993Experts in uncertainty403 cited
  • 2010A route to more tractable expert advice333 cited
  • 2007TU Delft expert judgment data base319 cited
  • 2008Developing an Event Tree for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment at Vesuvius245 cited
  • 2007The ‘Heuristics and Biases’ Bias in Expert Elicitation222 cited
  • 1999The Mathematics of Natural Catastrophes212 cited
  • 2008Comment on Cooke's classical method98 cited
  • 2007On the performance of social network and likelihood-based expert weighting schemes81 cited

Cited by

  • 2013Quantifying scientific uncertainty from expert judgement elicitation130 cited
  • 2018Eliciting improved quantitative judgements using the IDEA protocol: A case study in natural resource management129 cited
  • 2020Weighting and aggregating expert ecological judgments50 cited
  • 2012Combining Experts’ Judgments: Comparison of Algorithmic Methods Using Synthetic Data43 cited

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