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When are low-probability events judged to be ‘probable’? Effects of outcome-set characteristics on verbal probability estimates

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References

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1995Yes, but it is uncertain: Direction and communicative intention of verbal probabilistic terms162 cited
1988Societal risks as seen by a Norwegian public144 cited
2010

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Is guilt ‘likely’ or ‘not certain’?

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1998Does Random Time Interval Generation Interfere with Working Memory Executive Functions?70 cited

2016Must, knowledge, and (in)directness55 cited

1998When the Unreal is More Likely Than the Real: Post Hoc Probability Judgements and Counterfactual Closeness51 cited

2004The Dud-Alternative Effect in Likelihood Judgment.51 cited

1997Hypothesis revision strategies in conducting analytical procedures42 cited

1997Multicriteria decision analysis in a decision tree34 cited

2001When Equal Chances = Good Chances: Verbal Probabilities and the Equiprobability Effect29 cited

2001The Influence of Alternative Outcomes on Gut-Level Perceptions of Certainty23 cited

2013Additivity neglect in probability estimates: Effects of numeracy and response format21 cited

1993Determinants of numerical versus verbal probabilities19 cited

2002Likelihood judgment based on previously observed outcomes: the alternative-outcomes effect in a learning paradigm18 cited

1996Conjunction errors in the prediction of referendum outcomes: Effects of attitude and realism11 cited

2022What is a “likely” amount? Representative (modal) values are considered likely even when their probabilities are low10 cited