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Time-Variation in Expected Returns
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Time-Variation in Expected Returns (1988)Time-Variation in Expected ReturnsStock Market Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test (1988)Stock Market Prices Do Not Fo…Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices (1988)Permanent and Temporary Compo…Dividend yields and expected stock returns (1988)Dividend yields and expected …Stock returns and inflation (1987)Stock returns and inflationPredicting returns in the stock and bond markets (1986)Predicting returns in the sto…Stock Returns and the Term Structure (1985)Stock Returns and the Term St…Biases in computed returns (1983)Biases in computed returnsStock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money (1981)Stock Returns, Real Activity,…An intertemporal asset pricing model with stochastic consumption and investment opportunities (1979)An intertemporal asset pricin…Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy (1978)Asset Prices in an Exchange E…Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Time Series Analysis: Forecas…Estimating betas from nonsynchronous data (1977)Estimating betas from nonsync…Asset returns and inflation (1977)Asset returns and inflationAn Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)An Intertemporal Capital Asse…Some New Stock-Market Indexes (1966)Some New Stock-Market IndexesThe Behavior of Stock-Market Prices (1965)The Behavior of Stock-Market …Are Stocks Really Less Volatile in the Long Run? (2012)Are Stocks Really Less Volati…Predictive Systems: Living with Imperfect Predictors (2009)Predictive Systems: Living wi…How rewarding is technical analysis? Evidence from Singapore stock market (2003)How rewarding is technical an…Macroeconomic Factors Do Influence Aggregate Stock Returns (2002)Macroeconomic Factors Do Infl…Filter Rules Based on Price and Volume in Individual Security Overreaction (1999)Filter Rules Based on Price a…The predictability of security returns with simple technical trading rules (1998)The predictability of securit…Return autocorrelation and institutional investors (1997)Return autocorrelation and in…Parallels Between the Cross-Sectional Predictability of Stock and Country Returns (1997)Parallels Between the Cross-S…Delayed Reaction to Good News and the Cross-Autocorrelation of Portfolio Returns (1996)Delayed Reaction to Good News…Volume and Autocovariances in Short-Horizon Individual Security Returns (1994)Volume and Autocovariances in…A Tale of Three Schools: Insights on Autocorrelations of Short-Horizon Stock Returns (1994)A Tale of Three Schools: Insi…Portfolio return autocorrelation (1993)Portfolio return autocorrelat…What Moves the Stock and Bond Markets? A Variance Decomposition for Long-Term Asset Returns (1991)What Moves the Stock and Bond…Sources of value creation in acquisitions: An empirical investigation (1990)Sources of value creation in …A Variance Decomposition for Stock Returns (1990)A Variance Decomposition for …BUBBLES AND FADS IN ASSET PRICES (1989)BUBBLES AND FADS IN ASSET PRI…CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets (1965)THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.] (1975)Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)The relationship between return and market value of common stocks (1981)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative Prices (1973)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects (2002)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options (1993)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work (1970)DISTRIBUTION OF INCOMES OF CORPORATIONS AMONG DIVIDENDS, RETAINED EARNINGS AND TAXES (1956)Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments (1959)Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares (1961)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements (1961)Aspects of the Theory of Risk-Bearing. (1966)The equity premium: A puzzle (1985)Economic Forces and the Stock Market (1986)Specification Tests in Econometrics (1978)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies (1996)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)
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References

  • 1977Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control19,200 cited
  • 1965The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices8,707 cited
  • 1973An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model6,557 cited
  • 1978Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy5,057 cited
  • 1988Stock Market Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test3,745 cited
  • 1988Dividend yields and expected stock returns3,574 cited
  • 1988Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices3,036 cited
  • 1977Estimating betas from nonsynchronous data2,751 cited
  • 1977Asset returns and inflation2,701 cited
  • 1979An intertemporal asset pricing model with stochastic consumption and investment opportunities2,694 cited
  • 1981Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money2,632 cited
  • 1985Stock Returns and the Term Structure2,260 cited
  • 1986Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets1,715 cited
  • 1983Biases in computed returns771 cited
  • 1966Some New Stock-Market Indexes538 cited
  • 1987Stock returns and inflation426 cited

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Cited by

  • 1991What Moves the Stock and Bond Markets? A Variance Decomposition for Long-Term Asset Returns400 cited
  • 1997Return autocorrelation and institutional investors388 cited
  • 1994A Tale of Three Schools: Insights on Autocorrelations of Short-Horizon Stock Returns374 cited
  • 1990Sources of value creation in acquisitions: An empirical investigation342 cited
  • 1994Volume and Autocovariances in Short-Horizon Individual Security Returns330 cited
  • 2009Predictive Systems: Living with Imperfect Predictors307 cited
  • 1989BUBBLES AND FADS IN ASSET PRICES294 cited
  • 1996Delayed Reaction to Good News and the Cross-Autocorrelation of Portfolio Returns274 cited
  • 1993Portfolio return autocorrelation266 cited
  • 1990A Variance Decomposition for Stock Returns266 cited
  • 1998The predictability of security returns with simple technical trading rules264 cited
  • 2002Macroeconomic Factors Do Influence Aggregate Stock Returns235 cited
  • 2003How rewarding is technical analysis? Evidence from Singapore stock market234 cited
  • 2012Are Stocks Really Less Volatile in the Long Run?226 cited
  • 1999Filter Rules Based on Price and Volume in Individual Security Overreaction220 cited
  • 1997Parallels Between the Cross-Sectional Predictability of Stock and Country Returns219 cited