Citation map · Study

SZodixStudyAcademic Library

Shelves Open access

Study · an open academic library·Metadata from OpenAlex (CC0)·Shelves·OpenAlex metadata, de-duplicated

Are Political Markets Really Superior to Polls as Election Predictors?

10 references·7 citing·51 second hop

FromToDepth

this work references cited by second hop

References

1992Quasi-Rational Economics.916 cited
1993Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?847 cited
1996Do Campaigns Matter?414 cited
2010Explaining the Favorite–Long Shot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?318 cited
2004Historical Presidential Betting Markets228 cited
2018FORECASTING PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS205 cited
2004Group Judgments: Deliberation, Statistical Means, and Information Markets192 cited
1996Econometrics and Presidential Elections182 cited
2002The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns173 cited
2000Before the vote: forecasting American national elections130 cited

Cited by

2010Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task240 cited
2011The Evolution of Election Polling in the United States115 cited
2012Accuracy of Vote Expectation Surveys in Forecasting Elections113 cited
2009Forecasting Elections106 cited
2011Forecasting Elections: Voter Intentions Versus Expectations101 cited
2013

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

55 cited

2014Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely41 cited