SZodixStudyAcademic Library
ShelvesOpen access
Study · an open academic library·Metadata from OpenAlex (CC0)·Shelves·OpenAlex metadata, de-duplicated
AN INVESTIGATION OF MOTIVATIONAL BIAS IN SUBJECTIVE PREDICTIVE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS*
15 references·2 citing·43 second hop
AN INVESTIGATION OF MOTIVATIONAL BIAS IN SUBJECTIVE PREDICTIVE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS* (1982)AN INVESTIGATION OF MOTIVATIONAL BIAS IN …Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures (1982)Intuitive prediction: Biases …ASSESSING THE EXTREMES OF PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS BY THE FRACTILE METHOD* (1980)ASSESSING THE EXTREMES OF PRO…Modified PERT versus fractile assessment of subjective probability distributions (1979)Modified PERT versus fractile…Comparison of five methods for estimating subjective probability distributions (1977)Comparison of five methods fo…Behavioral Decision Theory (1977)Behavioral Decision TheoryScoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions (1976)Scoring Rules for Continuous …Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis (1975)Exceptional Paper—Probability…Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions (1975)Cognitive Processes and the A…METHODS FOR QUANTIFYING SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES AND MULTI‐ATTRIBUTE UTILITIES*† (1974)METHODS FOR QUANTIFYING SUBJE…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…From Shakespeare to Simon: Speculations-and Some Evidence- About Man's Ability to Process Information (1972)From Shakespeare to Simon: Sp…Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Elicitation of Personal Proba…The utilization of subjective probabilities in production planning (1970)The utilization of subjective…The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions (1967)The Quantification of Judgmen…Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts (2015)Trusting Judgements: How to G…A critique of the normative and descriptive foundations of subjective probability—with reference to agriculture (1985)A critique of the normative a…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)A Behavioral Theory of the Firm (1964)The Politics of the Budgetary Process (1965)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)On the self-erasing nature of errors of prediction. (1980)Forecasting and Planning: An Evaluation (1981)Limited Investor Attention and Stock Market Misreactions to Accounting Information (2010)La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives (1937)Comparing Density Forecasts Using Threshold- and Quantile-Weighted Scoring Rules (2010)Forecast Verification (2011)Probabilistic Forecasting (2014)Le Comportement de l'Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulats et Axiomes de l'Ecole Americaine (1953)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1964)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1976)The Theory of Incentives: The Principal-Agent Model (2001)Measuring Expectations (2004)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)The origin of predictable behavior (1983)Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography (1986)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Measuring System Usage: Implications for IS Theory Testing (1995)Rational Decisions (1952)Elementary Decision Theory. (1959)Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. (1966)The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions (1968)Feature Article—Decision Analysis: An Overview (1982)Comparing Density Forecasts via Weighted Likelihood Ratio Tests (2007)Unrealistic optimism about future life events. (1980)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment (1996)Toward a positive theory of consumer choice (1980)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1977Behavioral Decision Theory1,731 cited
  • 1971Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations1,228 cited
  • 1982Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures1,152 cited
  • 1976Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions950 cited
  • 1975Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis663 cited
  • 1975Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions479 cited
  • 1972From Shakespeare to Simon: Speculations-and Some Evidence- About Man's Ability to Process Information273 cited
  • 1967The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions202 cited
  • 1970The utilization of subjective probabilities in production planning195 cited
  • 1974METHODS FOR QUANTIFYING SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES AND MULTI‐ATTRIBUTE UTILITIES*†117 cited
  • 1980ASSESSING THE EXTREMES OF PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS BY THE FRACTILE METHOD*52 cited
  • 1977Comparison of five methods for estimating subjective probability distributions47 cited
  • 1979Modified PERT versus fractile assessment of subjective probability distributions

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

20 cited

Cited by

  • 2015Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts103 cited
  • 1985A critique of the normative and descriptive foundations of subjective probability—with reference to agriculture6 cited