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Do private sector forecasters chase after IMF or OECD forecasts?
16 references·0 citing·53 second hopsampled
Do private sector forecasters chase after IMF or OECD forecasts? (2013)Do private sector forecasters chase after…The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts* (2012)The Role of Central Bank Tran…Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries (2011)Disagreement Among Forecaster…Why do forecasters disagree? Lessons from the term structure of cross-sectional dispersion (2010)Why do forecasters disagree? …Testing Forecast Optimality Under Unknown Loss (2007)Testing Forecast Optimality U…Who herds? (2006)Who herds?The strategy of professional forecasting☆ (2006)The strategy of professional …Estimation and Testing of Forecast Rationality under Flexible Loss (2005)Estimation and Testing of For…FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE EXPECTATIONS: MICRO SURVEY DATA (2003)FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE EXPECTA…Forecasting with a real-time data set for macroeconomists (2002)Forecasting with a real-time …How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus (2001)How useful are the forecasts …How accurate are private sector forecasts? Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth (2001)How accurate are private sect…A real-time data set for macroeconomists (2001)A real-time data set for macr…Rational Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts (1999)Rational Bias in Macroeconomi…Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss (1997)Optimal Prediction Under Asym…The impact of institutional trading on stock prices (1992)The impact of institutional t…Testing the Rationality of Price Forecasts: New Evidence from Panel Data (1990)Testing the Rationality of Pr…The General Theory of Employment (1937)Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements (1961)Using Survey Data to Test Some Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations (1985)A Model Selection Approach to Real-Time Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Linear Models and Artificial Neural Networks (1997)Is inflation sticky? (1997)Forecasting with panel data (2008)Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes (2002)Social Value of Public Information (2002)Sticky Information versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (2002)A Theory of Demand Shocks (2009)Optimal Sticky Prices under Rational Inattention (2009)Overconfidence in Political Behavior (2015)Herd Behavior and Investment (1988)Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting (1993)Survey Measures of Expected U.S. Inflation (1999)Disagreement about Inflation Expectations (2003)Essays in Positive Economics (1954)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)A Simple Model of Herd Behavior (1992)Risk Taking by Mutual Funds as a Response to Incentives (1997)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)The Geography of Investment: Informed Trading and Asset Prices (2001)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Do Measures of Monetary Policy in a VAR Make Sense (1998)Monetary Policy Rules Based on Real-Time Data (2001)The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time (2002)Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data (2008)Exchange Rate Predictability (2013)Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability (1996)Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management (1998)Forecasting Economic Time Series (2000)Chapter 14 Survey Expectations (2006)Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss? (2008)Quantiles as optimal point forecasts (2010)Autoregressive Conditional Density Estimation (1994)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)Density forecasting: a survey (2000)Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models (2004)Pricing to Market when the Exchange Rate Changes (1986)Using Survey Data to Test Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations (1986)The forward discount anomaly and the risk premium: A survey of recent evidence (1996)Can Information Heterogeneity Explain the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle? (2006)The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target (1985)Income and Wealth Heterogeneity in the Macroeconomy (1998)House Prices, Borrowing Constraints, and Monetary Policy in the Business Cycle (2005)Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts (2010)The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks (2017)Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Experts and Representative Samples (2022)Stability in Competition (1929)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Reputational cheap talk (2006)Economic Forecasting (2008)Anchoring Bias in Consensus Forecasts and Its Effect on Market Prices (2009)
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References

  • 1992The impact of institutional trading on stock prices2,068 cited
  • 2001A real-time data set for macroeconomists787 cited
  • 1990Testing the Rationality of Price Forecasts: New Evidence from Panel Data499 cited
  • 2011Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries394 cited
  • 2003FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE EXPECTATIONS: MICRO SURVEY DATA367 cited
  • 2005Estimation and Testing of Forecast Rationality under Flexible Loss343 cited
  • 1999Rational Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts342 cited
  • 1997Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss342 cited
  • 2010Why do forecasters disagree? Lessons from the term structure of cross-sectional dispersion341 cited
  • 2006The strategy of professional forecasting☆320 cited
  • 2002Forecasting with a real-time data set for macroeconomists225 cited
  • 2006Who herds?218 cited
  • 2001How accurate are private sector forecasts? Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth181 cited
  • 2007Testing Forecast Optimality Under Unknown Loss169 cited
  • 2012The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts*144 cited
  • 2001

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How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus
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