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The effects of wording on the understanding and use of uncertainty information in a threshold forecasting decision
16 references·6 citing·40 second hop
The effects of wording on the understanding and use of uncertainty information in a threshold forecasting decision (2008)The effects of wording on the understandi…When are people persuaded by DNA match statistics? (2001)When are people persuaded by …Violence risk assessment and risk communication: The effects of using actual cases, providing instruction, and employing probability versus frequency formats. (2000)Violence risk assessment and …The interpretation of "likely" depends on the context, but "70%" is 70%--right? The influence of associative processes on perceived certainty. (1999)The interpretation of "likely…The Directionality of Verbal Probability Expressions: Effects on Decisions, Predictions, and Probabilistic Reasoning (1999)The Directionality of Verbal …The ‘conjunction fallacy’ revisited: how intelligent inferences look like reasoning errors (1999)The ‘conjunction fallacy’ rev…The Influence of Framing on Risky Decisions: A Meta-analysis (1998)The Influence of Framing on R…All Frames Are Not Created Equal: A Typology and Critical Analysis of Framing Effects (1998)All Frames Are Not Created Eq…Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty (1996)Are humans good intuitive sta…How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats. (1995)How to improve Bayesian reaso…From subjective probabilities to decision weights: The effect of asymmetric loss functions on the evaluation of uncertain outcomes and events. (1994)From subjective probabilities…Insights in Decision Making (1990)Insights in Decision MakingThe dependence of the conjunction fallacy on subtle linguistic factors (1988)The dependence of the conjunc…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …On the Elicitation of Preferences for Alternative Therapies (1982)On the Elicitation of Prefere…Response-Induced Reversals of Preference in Gambling: An Extended Replication in Las Vegas (1972)Response-Induced Reversals of…Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions. (1971)Reversals of preference betwe…Probabilistic Interval Forecasts: An Individual Differences Approach to Understanding Forecast Communication (2017)Probabilistic Interval Foreca…Use and communication of probabilistic forecasts (2016)Use and communication of prob…Understanding Public Hurricane Evacuation Decisions and Responses to Forecast and Warning Messages* (2015)Understanding Public Hurrican…Forecast communication through the newspaper Part 2: perceptions of uncertainty (2015)Forecast communication throug…How Individuals Process NWS Weather Warning Messages on Their Cell Phones (2013)How Individuals Process NWS W…Reducing probabilistic weather forecasts to the worst-case scenario: Anchoring effects. (2011)Reducing probabilistic weathe…Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)On the Limits of Framing Effects: Who Can Frame? (2001)The Implications of Framing Effects for Citizen Competence (2001)When Corrections Fail: The Persistence of Political Misperceptions (2010)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart (1999)Risk as feelings. (2001)“A 30% Chance of Rain Tomorrow”: How Does the Public Understand Probabilistic Weather Forecasts? (2005)Risks and decisions for conservation and environmental management (2005)The Role of the Affect and Availability Heuristics in Risk Communication (2006)Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Intransitivity of preferences. (1969)Measuring Utility by a Single-Response Sequential Method (1964) (1974)Contingent weighting in judgment and choice. (1988)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Relevance: Communication and Cognition (1986)Studies in the Way of Words (1989)Experimental practices in economics: A challenge for psychologists? (2000)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)A model of heuristic judgment (2005)Rational choice and the structure of the environment. (1956)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the reality of cognitive illusions. (1996)Transaction Cost Economics: How It Works; Where It is Headed (1998)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Tentative guidelines to help choosing an appropriate MCDA method (1998)Field Experiments (2004)The Economic Psychology of Tax Behaviour (2007)The Handbook of Journalism Studies (2009)Choices, Values, and Frames (2013)
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References

  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 1998All Frames Are Not Created Equal: A Typology and Critical Analysis of Framing Effects2,592 cited
  • 1995How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats.2,131 cited
  • 1982On the Elicitation of Preferences for Alternative Therapies1,668 cited
  • 1971Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions.1,571 cited
  • 1996Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty1,295 cited
  • 1998The Influence of Framing on Risky Decisions: A Meta-analysis1,122 cited
  • 1972Response-Induced Reversals of Preference in Gambling: An Extended Replication in Las Vegas593 cited
  • 1999The ‘conjunction fallacy’ revisited: how intelligent inferences look like reasoning errors538 cited
  • 2000Violence risk assessment and risk communication: The effects of using actual cases, providing instruction, and employing probability versus frequency formats.502 cited
  • 1988The dependence of the conjunction fallacy on subtle linguistic factors422 cited
  • 1990Insights in Decision Making328 cited
  • 1999The Directionality of Verbal Probability Expressions: Effects on Decisions, Predictions, and Probabilistic Reasoning233 cited
  • 1994

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From subjective probabilities to decision weights: The effect of asymmetric loss functions on the evaluation of uncertain outcomes and events.
226 cited
  • 2001When are people persuaded by DNA match statistics?100 cited
  • 1999The interpretation of "likely" depends on the context, but "70%" is 70%--right? The influence of associative processes on perceived certainty.72 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2015Understanding Public Hurricane Evacuation Decisions and Responses to Forecast and Warning Messages*154 cited
    • 2016Use and communication of probabilistic forecasts62 cited
    • 2011Reducing probabilistic weather forecasts to the worst-case scenario: Anchoring effects.33 cited
    • 2017Probabilistic Interval Forecasts: An Individual Differences Approach to Understanding Forecast Communication29 cited
    • 2015Forecast communication through the newspaper Part 2: perceptions of uncertainty23 cited
    • 2013How Individuals Process NWS Weather Warning Messages on Their Cell Phones23 cited