Returns to Farm Real Estate Revisited

Scott H. Irwin · D. Lynn Forster · Bruce J. Sherrick

48 citations0/0 files storedAmerican Journal of Agricultural Economics

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Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Agricultural economics and policies Housing Market and Economics

Abstract

Abstract Barry's research on farm real estate returns suggests that when farm assets are viewed as a part of the nation's wealth portfolio, returns are not persistently low, as is commonly asserted in policy debates. This paper extends Barry's research by explicitly accounting for the effects of uncertain inflation, using a broader market proxy, and lengthening the sample period. The results suggest farm real estate offers only slight (not substantial) premiums above those for systematic risk, contributes little systematic risk to a well‐diversified portfolio, and exhibits substantial risk due to uncertain inflation.

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References

1964CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK*1975THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.]1966Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market 1968THE PERFORMANCE OF MUTUAL FUNDS IN THE PERIOD 1945–1964 2016Equilibrium in an Imperfect Market: A Constraint on the Number of Securities in the Portfolio 1975INFLATION AND SECURITY RETURNS*1984Real Estate Investment Funds: Performance and Portfolio Considerations 1974Stock prices, inflation, and the term structure of interest rates

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