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An update on Bayesian updating
11 references·16 citing·38 second hop
An update on Bayesian updating (2008)An update on Bayesian updatingA Truth Serum for Non-Bayesians: Correcting Proper Scoring Rules for Risk Attitudes (2009)A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesia…Self-Correcting Information Cascades (2007)Self-Correcting Information C…Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects (2002)Risk Aversion and Incentive E…On the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function (1999)On the Shape of the Probabili…Curvature of the Probability Weighting Function (1996)Curvature of the Probability …How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats. (1995)How to improve Bayesian reaso…Testing bayes rule and the representativeness heuristic: Some experimental evidence (1992)Testing bayes rule and the re…Bayes Rule as a Descriptive Model: The Representativeness Heuristic (1980)Bayes Rule as a Descriptive M…Measuring Utility by a Single-Response Sequential Method (1964) (1974)Measuring Utility by a Single…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Measuring utility by a single-response sequential method (1964)Measuring utility by a single…Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: Algorithmic Assessments, Transparency, and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies (2023)Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: A…Experimental methods: Eliciting beliefs (2021)Experimental methods: Eliciti…Complex Disclosure (2021)Complex DisclosureBelief updating: does the ‘good-news, bad-news’ asymmetry extend to purely financial domains? (2020)Belief updating: does the ‘go…Confirmation bias with motivated beliefs (2017)Confirmation bias with motiva…Belief updating and the demand for information (2017)Belief updating and the deman…Scoring rules for subjective probability distributions (2016)Scoring rules for subjective …Reduction of compound lotteries with objective probabilities: Theory and evidence (2015)Reduction of compound lotteri…Uncovering unknown unknowns: Towards a Baconian approach to management decision-making (2014)Uncovering unknown unknowns: …The Control Premium: A Preference for Payoff Autonomy (2014)The Control Premium: A Prefer…Estimating subjective probabilities (2014)Estimating subjective probabi…Belief Elicitation in the Laboratory (2014)Belief Elicitation in the Lab…Assessment and Estimation of Risk Preferences (2014)Assessment and Estimation of …Distinguishing beliefs from preferences in food choice (2013)Distinguishing beliefs from p…Modeling the Change of Paradigm: Non-Bayesian Reactions to Unexpected News (2012)Modeling the Change of Paradi…How do people update? The effects of local weather fluctuations on beliefs about global warming (2012)How do people update? The eff…Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework (1999)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)A Simple Model of Herd Behavior (1992)The Handbook of experimental economics (1995)Herding and Contrarian Behavior in Financial Markets: An Internet Experiment (2005)Market Watch: Information and Availability Cascades Among the Media and Investors in the U.S. IPO Market (2008)Cognitive culture: theoretical and empirical insights into social learning strategies (2011)Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach (1968)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Goals as Reference Points (1999)Power, optimism, and risk‐taking (2006)Thirty Years of Prospect Theory in Economics: A Review and Assessment (2013)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1964)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1976)Oxytocin increases trust in humans (2005)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)INDIVIDUAL RISK ATTITUDES: MEASUREMENT, DETERMINANTS, AND BEHAVIORAL CONSEQUENCES (2011)Weighing risk and uncertainty. (1995)Salience Theory of Choice Under Risk (2012)Recent developments in modeling preferences: Uncertainty and ambiguity (1992)Measuring Trust* (2000)Field Experiments (2004)Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions. (1971)Experimental Tests of the Endowment Effect and the Coase Theorem (2000)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 2002Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects5,973 cited
  • 1964Measuring utility by a single-response sequential method2,656 cited
  • 1995How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats.2,131 cited
  • 1974Measuring Utility by a Single-Response Sequential Method (1964)1,540 cited
  • 1999On the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function1,393 cited
  • 1996Curvature of the Probability Weighting Function990 cited
  • 1980Bayes Rule as a Descriptive Model: The Representativeness Heuristic821 cited
  • 1992Testing bayes rule and the representativeness heuristic: Some experimental evidence395 cited
  • 2007Self-Correcting Information Cascades236 cited
  • 2009A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesians: Correcting Proper Scoring Rules for Risk Attitudes219 cited

Cited by

  • 2012How do people update? The effects of local weather fluctuations on beliefs about global warming216 cited
  • 2014Belief Elicitation in the Laboratory210 cited
  • 2014The Control Premium: A Preference for Payoff Autonomy159 cited
  • 2017Confirmation bias with motivated beliefs150 cited

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

  • 2012Modeling the Change of Paradigm: Non-Bayesian Reactions to Unexpected News132 cited
  • 2021Experimental methods: Eliciting beliefs130 cited
  • 2020Belief updating: does the ‘good-news, bad-news’ asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?121 cited
  • 2014Estimating subjective probabilities112 cited
  • 2013Distinguishing beliefs from preferences in food choice105 cited
  • 2017Belief updating and the demand for information104 cited
  • 2014Uncovering unknown unknowns: Towards a Baconian approach to management decision-making78 cited
  • 2015Reduction of compound lotteries with objective probabilities: Theory and evidence74 cited
  • 2016Scoring rules for subjective probability distributions71 cited
  • 2023Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: Algorithmic Assessments, Transparency, and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies66 cited
  • 2014Assessment and Estimation of Risk Preferences65 cited
  • 2021Complex Disclosure57 cited