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Has the Economy Become More Predictable? Changes in Greenbook Forecast Accuracy
16 references·12 citing·42 second hop
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References

  • 1991Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation4,039 cited
  • 1994Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation3,242 cited
  • n.d.Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed since the Early 1980's?1,867 cited
  • 2007Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?1,719 cited
  • 1999Has the U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based on a Markov-Switching Model of the Business Cycle1,174 cited
  • 2000Federal Reserve Information and the Behavior of Interest Rates1,049 cited
  • 2001The Long and Large Decline in U.S. Output Volatility995 cited
  • 2001Are Phillips Curves Useful for Forecasting Inflation?731 cited
  • 2003Monetary policy in a data-rich environment702 cited
  • 1998Asking about Prices: A New Approach to Understanding Price Stickiness409 cited
  • 2002The Role of Models and Probabilities in the Monetary Policy Process299 cited
  • 2005Evaluating Direct Multistep Forecasts243 cited
  • 2005Has Euro-Area Inflation Persistence Changed Over Time?197 cited
  • 2010How Useful Are Estimated DSGE Model Forecasts for Central Bankers?167 cited
  • 2007Macroeconomic Volatility, Predictability, and Uncertainty in the Great Moderation

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80 cited
  • 1990A Cross Country Comparison of Seasonal Cycles and Business Cycles70 cited
  • Cited by

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    • 2016Model Confidence Sets and forecast combination65 cited
    • 2017Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation51 cited
    • 2018Gauging the uncertainty of the economic outlook using historical forecasting errors: The Federal Reserve’s approach50 cited
    • 2019Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy41 cited
    • 2011How Useful are Estimated DSGE Model Forecasts?35 cited
    • 2023Central bank forecasting: A survey22 cited
    • 2018The Role of Expectations in Changed Inflation Dynamics21 cited
    • 2016Evaluating the Efficiency of the FOMC's New Economic Projections15 cited
    • 2023Macroeconomic News in Asset Pricing and Reality12 cited
    • 2014Indeterminacy and Forecastability12 cited
    • 2016Actively Learning by Pricing: A Model of an Experimenting Seller8 cited