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Eliciting subjective probability distributions on continuous variables · Study

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Eliciting subjective probability distributions on continuous variables

David A. Seaver, Detlof von Winterfeldt, Ward Edwards

1978-06-01articleOrganizational Behavior and Human Performance105 citationsclosed

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Psychometric Methodologies and Testing Forecasting Techniques and Applications

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Citations in this library

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References

1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980

1976Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions

1982A progress report on the training of probability assessors

1966Conservatism in a simple probability inference task.

1975Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis

1967The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions

Cited by

1982Subjective confidence in forecasts

1982Calibration of auditors' probabilistic judgments: Some empirical evidence

2009A Simple Remedy for Overprecision in Judgment

1985Combining Individual Judgments

2007Coherence and Consistency of Investors' Probability Judgments

2009Evaluating Quantile Assessments

1982Probability Assessment by Individual Auditors and Audit Teams: An Empirical Investigation

1991Confidence depends on level of aggregation

Details

Year1978

Typearticle

VenueOrganizational Behavior and Human Performance

Languageen

Files0 public / 0

Identifiers

doi10.1016/0030-5073(78)90061-2

openalex_workW2017105964

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