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Thinking the Unthinkable: The Effects of Anchoring on Likelihood Estimates of Nuclear War1

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References

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2002Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability678 cited
2004Perspective taking in children and adults: Equivalent egocentrism but differential correction594 cited
2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives

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289 cited

2010Effect of outdoor temperature, heat primes and anchoring on belief in global warming236 cited

2002Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice232 cited

2016Biases in future-oriented Delphi studies: A cognitive perspective220 cited

2012The Role of Anchoring Bias in the Equity Market: Evidence from Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts and Stock Returns214 cited

2002The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information212 cited

2002When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism209 cited

2004Are Adjustments Insufficient?207 cited

2001The Semantics of Anchoring200 cited

2002Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”191 cited

1993How alike is it versus how likely is it: A disjunction fallacy in probability judgments.188 cited

2002Biased Assimilation of Sociopolitical Arguments: Evaluating the 1996 U.S. Presidential Debate188 cited