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Does high forecast uncertainty preclude effective decision support?
12 references·3 citing·46 second hop
Does high forecast uncertainty preclude effective decision support? (2005)Does high forecast uncertainty preclude e…Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method (2016)Simulation and the Monte Carl…Statistical Decision Theory (2000)Statistical Decision TheorySeparating Variability and Uncertainty in Environmental Risk Assessment—Making Choices (2000)Separating Variability and Un…Assessing Dependence: Some Experimental Results (2000)Assessing Dependence: Some Ex…Probabilistic Techniques in Exposure Assessment: A Handbook for Dealing with Variability and Uncertainty in Models and Inputs (1999)Probabilistic Techniques in E…Correlations and Copulas for Decision and Risk Analysis (1999)Correlations and Copulas for …Characterization and Simulation of Uncertain Frequency Distributions: Effects of Distribution Choice, Variability, Uncertainty, and Parameter Dependence (1998)Characterization and Simulati…Learning from integrated assessment of climate change (1996)Learning from integrated asse…Copula Models for Aggregating Expert Opinions (1996)Copula Models for Aggregating…Importance of scientific uncertainty in decision making (1994)Importance of scientific unce…Thirty Years of Copulas (1991)Thirty Years of CopulasOrdinal Measures of Association (1958)Ordinal Measures of Associati…Socio-technical scales in socio-environmental modeling: Managing a system-of-systems modeling approach (2020)Socio-technical scales in soc…A tiered, system-of-systems modeling framework for resolving complex socio-environmental policy issues (2018)A tiered, system-of-systems m…Chapter Five Uncertainty in Environmental Decision Making: Issues, Challenges and Future Directions (2008)Chapter Five Uncertainty in E…The Proof and Measurement of Association between Two Things (1904)A NEW MEASURE OF RANK CORRELATION (1938)Rank Correlation Methods. (1957)Modelling Dependence with Copulas and Applications to Risk Management (2003)Everything You Always Wanted to Know about Copula Modeling but Were Afraid to Ask (2007)The t Copula and Related Copulas (2007)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Making Hard Decisions, an Introduction to Decision Analysis (1992)Aggregating Probability Distributions (2007)Supplier default dependencies: Empirical evidence from the automotive industry (2008)ESTIMATORS BASED ON KENDALL'S TAU IN MULTIVARIATE COPULA MODELS (2011)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Perspective on Decision Analysis Applications, 1990–2001 (2004)How to Exploit the Digitalization Potential of Business Processes (2017)Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Decision analysis and behavioral research (1986)Uncertainty (1990)Decision Analysis: A Method for Taking Uncertainties into Account in Risk-Based Decision Making (1999)Risks and decisions for conservation and environmental management (2005)Water Quality Trading When Nonpoint Pollution Loads are Stochastic (2010)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Using surveys to value public goods: the contingent valuation method (1989)Assessing integrated assessments (1996)INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE (1997)Inside the integrated assessment models: Four issues in climate economics (2009)A distribution-free approach to inducing rank correlation among input variables (1982)Modelling sample selection using Archimedean copulas (2003)SHELF: The Sheffield Elicitation Framework (2017)Searching for innovation: Product, process, and business model innovations and search behavior in established firms (2018)The Joy of Copulas: Bivariate Distributions with Uniform Marginals (1986)The Asymptotic Theory of Extreme Order Statistics (1990)Efficient Estimation in the Bivariate Normal Copula Model: Normal Margins Are Least Favourable (1997)Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models (2006)Stochastic frontier models with dependent error components (2008)Automobile Prices in Market Equilibrium (1995)Estimation of small failure probabilities in high dimensions by subset simulation (2001)Latin hypercube sampling and the propagation of uncertainty in analyses of complex systems (2003)Policy Evaluation in Uncertain Economic Environments (2003)Combining predictive distributions (2013)Guidance on Expert Knowledge Elicitation in Food and Feed Safety Risk Assessment (2014)Error and uncertainty in modeling and simulation (2002)Challenge problems: uncertainty in system response given uncertain parameters (2004)Verification, validation, and predictive capability in computational engineering and physics (2004)
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References

  • 2016Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method3,356 cited
  • 1958Ordinal Measures of Association740 cited
  • 1999Probabilistic Techniques in Exposure Assessment: A Handbook for Dealing with Variability and Uncertainty in Models and Inputs608 cited
  • 1999Correlations and Copulas for Decision and Risk Analysis343 cited
  • 2000Statistical Decision Theory264 cited
  • 1996Learning from integrated assessment of climate change201 cited
  • 1991Thirty Years of Copulas193 cited
  • 1996Copula Models for Aggregating Expert Opinions154 cited
  • 1994Importance of scientific uncertainty in decision making130 cited
  • 2000Assessing Dependence: Some Experimental Results104 cited
  • 2000Separating Variability and Uncertainty in Environmental Risk Assessment—Making Choices73 cited
  • 1998Characterization and Simulation of Uncertain Frequency Distributions: Effects of Distribution Choice, Variability, Uncertainty, and Parameter Dependence47 cited

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  • 2020Socio-technical scales in socio-environmental modeling: Managing a system-of-systems modeling approach88 cited
  • 2018A tiered, system-of-systems modeling framework for resolving complex socio-environmental policy issues71 cited
  • 2008

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Chapter Five Uncertainty in Environmental Decision Making: Issues, Challenges and Future Directions
38 cited