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Differences between probability and frequency judgments: The role of individual differences in working memory capacity
16 references·6 citing·42 second hop
Differences between probability and frequency judgments: The role of individual differences in working memory capacity (2005)Differences between probability and frequ…Hypothesis generation, probability judgment, and individual differences in working memory capacity (2003)Hypothesis generation, probab…Frequency illusions and other fallacies (2003)Frequency illusions and other…Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not (2002)Representation facilitates re…MINERVA-DM: A memory processes model for judgments of likelihood. (1999)MINERVA-DM: A memory processe…Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty (1996)Are humans good intuitive sta…How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats. (1995)How to improve Bayesian reaso…Two halfs may be more than one whole: Category-split effects on frequency illusions. (1994)Two halfs may be more than on…Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. (1994)Support theory: A nonextensio…Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. (1994)Simultaneous over- and underc…The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence (1992)The weighing of evidence and …The effect of choosing on confidence in choice (1990)The effect of choosing on con…Judgment and decision making (1990)Judgment and decision makingIs working memory capacity task dependent? (1989)Is working memory capacity ta…The dependence of the conjunction fallacy on subtle linguistic factors (1988)The dependence of the conjunc…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973)A New Vector Partition of the…Judgment in Business and Management Research: Shedding New Light on a Familiar Concept (2024)Judgment in Business and Mana…When Cognitive Reflection Leads to Less Overall but More Systematic Judgment Bias: The Case of the Base Rates Fallacy (2023)When Cognitive Reflection Lea…A Perceptual Approach to Aging: Latent Aging (2020)A Perceptual Approach to Agin…An integrated approach to biases in referent-specific judgments (2019)An integrated approach to bia…Generating and evaluating options for decision making: The impact of sequentially presented evidence. (2011)Generating and evaluating opt…The Role of Part-Set Cuing and Retrieval Induced Forgetting in Subjective Probability Judgments (2007)The Role of Part-Set Cuing an…The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)Working Memory (1974)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Exploring the Central Executive (1996)Models of visuospatial and verbal memory across the adult life span. (2002)An automated version of the operation span task (2005)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Arbitrary metrics in psychology. (2006)Two-stage dynamic signal detection: A theory of choice, decision time, and confidence. (2010)Ubiquitous Log Odds: A Common Representation of Probability and Frequency Distortion in Perception, Action, and Cognition (2012)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: Causality and attribution (1982)CURRENT RESEARCH IN SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY (1996)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)A power primer. (1992)Handbook of Emotions (1993)On the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function (1999)Perspective Taking as Egocentric Anchoring and Adjustment. (2004)Rational choice and the structure of the environment. (1956)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the reality of cognitive illusions. (1996)Transaction Cost Economics: How It Works; Where It is Headed (1998)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Forecast Verification (2011)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average (1998)Self-Efficacy, Motivation Constructs, and Mathematics Performance of Entering Middle School Students (1999)Trading Performance, Disposition Effect, Overconfidence, Representativeness Bias, and Experience of Emerging Market Investors (2007)
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References

  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 1989Is working memory capacity task dependent?2,298 cited
  • 1995How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats.2,131 cited
  • 1992The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence1,842 cited
  • 1996Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty1,295 cited
  • 1994Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.1,159 cited
  • 1973A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score1,120 cited
  • 1994Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes.644 cited
  • 1990Judgment and decision making510 cited
  • 1988The dependence of the conjunction fallacy on subtle linguistic factors422 cited
  • 1999MINERVA-DM: A memory processes model for judgments of likelihood.349 cited
  • 2003Frequency illusions and other fallacies266 cited
  • 2002Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not252 cited
  • 1990The effect of choosing on confidence in choice226 cited
  • 1994Two halfs may be more than one whole: Category-split effects on frequency illusions.

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147 cited
  • 2003Hypothesis generation, probability judgment, and individual differences in working memory capacity130 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2011Generating and evaluating options for decision making: The impact of sequentially presented evidence.19 cited
    • 2024Judgment in Business and Management Research: Shedding New Light on a Familiar Concept13 cited
    • 2019An integrated approach to biases in referent-specific judgments5 cited
    • 2020A Perceptual Approach to Aging: Latent Aging2 cited
    • 2007The Role of Part-Set Cuing and Retrieval Induced Forgetting in Subjective Probability Judgments2 cited
    • 2023When Cognitive Reflection Leads to Less Overall but More Systematic Judgment Bias: The Case of the Base Rates Fallacy1 cited