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Perception of inflation: Polynomial not exponential
2 references·7 citing·33 second hop
Perception of inflation: Polynomial not exponential (1984)Perception of inflation: Polynomial not e…Cultural differences in the misperception of exponential growth (1983)Cultural differences in the m…Misperception of exponential growth (1975)Misperception of exponential …Don't Ignore Inflation Ignorance: An Experimental Analysis of the Degree of Money Illusion in Individual Decision Making (2023)Don't Ignore Inflation Ignora…Individual preferences and the exponential growth bias (2017)Individual preferences and th…Do Long-Term Investors Care About Inflation? (2010)Do Long-Term Investors Care A…Graphs versus tables: Effects of data presentation format on judgemental forecasting (1996)Graphs versus tables: Effects…Heuristics, biases and improvement strategies in judgmental time series forecasting (1994)Heuristics, biases and improv…Improving judgmental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research (1993)Improving judgmental time ser…Do not inflate exponentially the evidence for the polynomial model: A reply to Jones (1984)Do not inflate exponentially …Inflation, Rational Valuation and the Market (1979)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)All Frames Are Not Created Equal: A Typology and Critical Analysis of Framing Effects (1998)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The Analytic Hierarchy Process (1985)Forecasting sport: the behaviour and performance of football tipsters (2000)Improving the voluntary integration of statistical forecasts and judgment (2000)Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts: A Case Study of Consensus Forecasting in Supply Chain Planning (2009)Naive beliefs in “sophisticated” subjects: misconceptions about trajectories of objects (1981)Sensitivity to autocorrelation in judgmental time series forecasting (2011)PREDICTING RETIREMENT SAVINGS USING SURVEY MEASURES OF EXPONENTIAL‐GROWTH BIAS AND PRESENT BIAS (2019)Man as an intuitive statistician. (1967)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Learning in and about complex systems (1994)Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)The sciences of science communication (2013)Extrapolation of exponential time series is not enhanced by having more data points (1978)The pond-and-duckweed problem; Three experiments on the misperception of exponential growth (1979)How Economic Laypeople Perceive Economic Growth and Inflation (2008)RATIONAL CHOICE AND THE FRAMING OF DECISIONS (1988)Why Are Judgments Less Consistent in Less Predictable Task Situations? (1995)Judgmental Adjustment of Statistical Forecasts (2001)The risk of algorithm transparency: How algorithm complexity drives the effects on the use of advice (2022)Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting (1997)Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects (2002)z-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments (2007)'Let the Music Play' – Experimental Study on Background Music and Time Preference (2020)The Effect of Sms Notifications on Time Preferences (2021)How consumers evaluate costs in complex services: the case of mutual fund fees (2024)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)Statistical correction of judgmental point forecasts and decisions (1996)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975Misperception of exponential growth293 cited
  • 1983Cultural differences in the misperception of exponential growth55 cited

Cited by

  • 1993Improving judgmental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research103 cited
  • 1996Graphs versus tables: Effects of data presentation format on judgemental forecasting96 cited
  • 1994Heuristics, biases and improvement strategies in judgmental time series forecasting47 cited
  • 2017Individual preferences and the exponential growth bias7 cited
  • 1984Do not inflate exponentially the evidence for the polynomial model: A reply to Jones4 cited
  • 2023Don't Ignore Inflation Ignorance: An Experimental Analysis of the Degree of Money Illusion in Individual Decision Making2 cited
  • 2010Do Long-Term Investors Care About Inflation?1 cited

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