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Extrapolation of exponential time series is not enhanced by having more data points · Study

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ArticleExtrapolation of exponential time series is not enhanced by having more data points

Willem Albert Wagenaar1978

OA

Articlebronze1978

Extrapolation of exponential time series is not enhanced by having more data points

Willem Albert Wagenaar · Han Timmers

83 citations·0/0 files stored·Perception & Psychophysics

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Forecasting Techniques and Applications Visual perception and processing mechanisms Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics

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References

1962Statistical principles in experimental design.1975Misperception of exponential growth 1977Inverse statistics and misperception of exponential growth 1978Intuitive Prediction of Growth

Cited by

1986The Ombudsman: Research on Forecasting: A Quarter-Century Review, 1960–1984 2011Experiments on forecasting behavior with several sources of information – A review of the literature 1994Heuristics, biases and improvement strategies in judgmental time series forecasting 2022How do bank managers forecast the future in the shadow of the past? An examination of expected credit losses under IFRS 9 2018Biased predictions of students’ future achievement: An experimental study on pre-service teachers’ interpretation of curriculum-based measurement graphs 2022Exponential Growth Bias and the Law: Why Do We Save Too Little, Borrow Too Much, and Fail to React on Time to Deadly Pandemics and Climate Change?2021Mathematics, Psychology, and Law: The Legal Ramifications of the Exponential Growth Bias 1984Do not inflate exponentially the evidence for the polynomial model: A reply to Jones

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Details

Year1978

Typearticle

Published1978-03-01

VenuePerception & Psychophysics

ISSN-L0031-5117

Languageen

Citations83

Files0 public / 0

ShelfForecasting Techniques and Applications

Identifiers

doi10.3758/bf03199548

openalex_workW2016394431

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