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Confidence in aggregation of expert opinions
11 references·16 citing·36 second hop
Confidence in aggregation of expert opinions (2000)Confidence in aggregation of expert opini…Principles of Forecasting (2001)Principles of ForecastingAdvice Taking in Decision Making: Egocentric Discounting and Reputation Formation (2000)Advice Taking in Decision Mak…Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis (1999)Combining Probability Distrib…Evaluating and Combining Subjective Probability Estimates (1997)Evaluating and Combining Subj…Brunswikian and Thurstonian Origins of Bias in Probability Assessment: On the Interpretation of Stochastic Components of Judgment (1997)Brunswikian and Thurstonian O…Cueing and Cognitive Conflict in Judge-Advisor Decision Making (1995)Cueing and Cognitive Conflict…Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. (1994)Simultaneous over- and underc…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Combining forecasts: A review…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)Combining forecasts: A review…Accuracy and confidence in group judgment (1989)Accuracy and confidence in gr…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Physical literacy in Europe: The current state of implementation in research, practice, and policy (2022)Physical literacy in Europe: …Ordinal Priority Approach (OPA) in Multiple Attribute Decision-Making (2019)Ordinal Priority Approach (OP…Do Director Networks Matter for Financial Reporting Quality? Evidence from Audit Committee Connectedness and Restatements (2019)Do Director Networks Matter f…Enhancing Entrepreneurial Orientation in Dynamic Environments: The Interplay between Top Management Team Advice-Seeking and Absorptive Capacity (2016)Enhancing Entrepreneurial Ori…Perceived Environmental Dynamism, Relative Competitive Performance, and Top Management Team Heterogeneity: Examining Correlates of Upper Echelons’ Advice-Seeking (2013)Perceived Environmental Dynam…How Do Auditors Weight Informal Contrary Advice? The Joint Influence of Advisor Social Bond and Advice Justifiability (2013)How Do Auditors Weight Inform…Judgmental aggregation strategies depend on whether the self is involved (2010)Judgmental aggregation strate…Group-based forecasting?: A social psychological analysis (2010)Group-based forecasting?: A s…The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments (2009)The relative influence of adv…Evaluating advisors: A policy‐capturing study under conditions of complete and missing information (2009)Evaluating advisors: A policy…Computational Models for the Combination of Advice and Individual Learning (2009)Computational Models for the …Aggregation of opinions based on correlated cues and advisors (2006)Aggregation of opinions based…Giving Advice or Making Decisions in Someone Else’s Place: The Influence of Impression, Defense, and Accuracy Motivation on the Search for New Information (2005)Giving Advice or Making Decis…The effects of asymmetry among advisors on the aggregation of their opinions (2003)The effects of asymmetry amon…Information search and presentation in advisor–client interactions (2003)Information search and presen…Averaging probability judgments: Monte Carlo analyses of asymptotic diagnostic value (2001)Averaging probability judgmen…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making. (1979)Group Performance and Decision Making (2004)Computing and applying trust in web-based social networks (2005)A survey of trust in social networks (2013)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)A Theory of Social Comparison Processes (1954)The emerging conceptualization of groups as information processors. (1997)Teams in Organizations: From Input-Process-Output Models to IMOI Models (2004)Expert judgment: Some necessary conditions and an example. (1974)The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Chapter 4 Forecast Combinations (2006)Agency Theory: An Assessment and Review (1989)Understanding algorithm aversion: When is advice from automation discounted? (2017)Are MCDM methods useful? A critical review of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Analytic Network Process (ANP) (2019)Human-machine collaboration in managerial decision making (2021)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven‐country data set (2004)Handbook of Economic Forecasting (2013)Agreeing to Disagree (1976)Constructing Probability Boxes and Dempster-Shafer Structures (2003)Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science (2012)Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy (2014)Informational Influence in Organizations: An Integrated Approach to Knowledge Adoption (2003)Arbitrary metrics in psychology. (2006)Two-stage dynamic signal detection: A theory of choice, decision time, and confidence. (2010)Ubiquitous Log Odds: A Common Representation of Probability and Frequency Distortion in Perception, Action, and Cognition (2012)Expert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique (2001)Consensus measurement in Delphi studies (2012)Rethinking Partial Least Squares Path Modeling: In Praise of Simple Methods (2012)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1989Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography2,170 cited
  • 1990Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography1,465 cited
  • 2001Principles of Forecasting1,178 cited
  • 1999Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis824 cited
  • 2000Advice Taking in Decision Making: Egocentric Discounting and Reputation Formation698 cited
  • 1994Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes.644 cited
  • 1995Cueing and Cognitive Conflict in Judge-Advisor Decision Making429 cited
  • 1989Accuracy and confidence in group judgment358 cited
  • 1997Evaluating and Combining Subjective Probability Estimates145 cited
  • 1997Brunswikian and Thurstonian Origins of Bias in Probability Assessment: On the Interpretation of Stochastic Components of Judgment145 cited

Cited by

  • 2009The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments341 cited
  • 2019Ordinal Priority Approach (OPA) in Multiple Attribute Decision-Making287 cited
  • 2019Do Director Networks Matter for Financial Reporting Quality? Evidence from Audit Committee Connectedness and Restatements167 cited

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

  • 2013How Do Auditors Weight Informal Contrary Advice? The Joint Influence of Advisor Social Bond and Advice Justifiability147 cited
  • 2005Giving Advice or Making Decisions in Someone Else’s Place: The Influence of Impression, Defense, and Accuracy Motivation on the Search for New Information141 cited
  • 2016Enhancing Entrepreneurial Orientation in Dynamic Environments: The Interplay between Top Management Team Advice-Seeking and Absorptive Capacity131 cited
  • 2010Group-based forecasting?: A social psychological analysis129 cited
  • 2003The effects of asymmetry among advisors on the aggregation of their opinions118 cited
  • 2003Information search and presentation in advisor–client interactions116 cited
  • 2009Computational Models for the Combination of Advice and Individual Learning114 cited
  • 2013Perceived Environmental Dynamism, Relative Competitive Performance, and Top Management Team Heterogeneity: Examining Correlates of Upper Echelons’ Advice-Seeking113 cited
  • 2010Judgmental aggregation strategies depend on whether the self is involved92 cited
  • 2022Physical literacy in Europe: The current state of implementation in research, practice, and policy91 cited
  • 2006Aggregation of opinions based on correlated cues and advisors86 cited
  • 2001Averaging probability judgments: Monte Carlo analyses of asymptotic diagnostic value77 cited
  • 2009Evaluating advisors: A policy‐capturing study under conditions of complete and missing information68 cited