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Overconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis · Study

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ArticleOverconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis

Richard A. Block1991

Article1991

Overconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis

Richard A. Block

209 citations·0/0 files stored·Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Forecasting Techniques and Applications Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills

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References

1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases 1986Decision analysis and behavioral research 1986Judgment in Managerial Decision Making 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 1971Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment 1977Behavioral Decision Theory

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2002Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability 2009The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments 2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives 2016Biases in future-oriented Delphi studies: A cognitive perspective 2012The Role of Anchoring Bias in the Equity Market: Evidence from Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts and Stock Returns 2002

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Year1991

Typearticle

Published1991-08-01

VenueOrganizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

ISSN-L0749-5978

Languageen

Citations209

Files0 public / 0

ShelfDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

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doi10.1016/0749-5978(91)90048-x

openalex_workW2020103698

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The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information

2007The naïve intuitive statistician: A naïve sampling model of intuitive confidence intervals.

2002When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism