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Forecasting the 2008 Presidential Election with the Time-for-Change Model
6 references·6 citing·39 second hop
Forecasting the 2008 Presidential Election with the Time-for-Change Model (2008)Forecasting the 2008 Presidential Electio…Bread and Peace Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections (2000)Bread and Peace Voting in U.S…Before the vote: forecasting American national elections (2000)Before the vote: forecasting …Do Campaigns Matter? (1996)Do Campaigns Matter?Forecasting elections (1993)Forecasting electionsAn Improved Model for Predicting Presidential Election Outcomes (1988)An Improved Model for Predict…The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President (1978)The Effect of Economic Events…The Particularistic President (2015)The Particularistic PresidentThe myopic voter? The economy and US presidential elections (2015)The myopic voter? The economy…Opinion Polling and Election Predictions (2015)Opinion Polling and Election …Limitations of Ensemble Bayesian Model Averaging for forecasting social science problems (2015)Limitations of Ensemble Bayes…Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely (2014)Combining forecasts for elect…Explaining the Horse Race of 2008 (2009)Explaining the Horse Race of …Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–1964 (1971)The Political Business Cycle (1975)Economic Determinants of Electoral Outcomes (2000)Presidential Voting and the Local Economy: Evidence from Two Population-Based Data Sets (2017)Elite Messaging and Partisan Consumerism: An Evaluation of President Trump’s Tweets and Polarization of Corporate Brand Images (2020)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets (2006)An Economic Theory of Democracy (1960)Political budget cycles in new versus established democracies (2005)Myopic Voters and Natural Disaster Policy (2009)Elections and the Political Order (1967)Elections and The Political Order. (1967)Contesting the European Union? Why the Dutch and the French Rejected the European Constitution (2010)Political Machines at Work Voter Mobilization and Electoral Subversion in the Workplace (2014)An Economic Theory of Democracy. (1958)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Ethnocentrism as a Short‐Term Force in the 2008 American Presidential Election (2012)The Influence of Federal Spending on Presidential Elections (2012)Holding governments accountable? Individual heterogeneity in performance voting (2013)Congress: The Electoral Connection, by David R. Mayhew (1975)Congressional Oversight Overlooked: Police Patrols versus Fire Alarms (1984)What Americans Know about Politics and Why It Matters (1997)Legislators as Lobbyists (2018)Presidential Investment in the Administrative State (2023)The People's Choice: How the Voter Makes Up His Mind in a Presidential Campaign (1968)Reexamining the "Minimal Effects" Model in Recent Presidential Campaigns (1993)Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable? (1993)A Spot Check: Casting Doubt on the Demobilizing Effect of Attack Advertising (1998)The Effect of TV Ads and Candidate Appearances on Statewide Presidential Votes, 1988–96 (1999)New Perspectives and Evidence on Political Communication and Campaign Effects (2000)Homo Heuristicus: Why Biased Minds Make Better Inferences (2009)Measuring Risks to UK Financial Stability (2018)Elections and Markets: The Effect of Partisanship, Policy Risk, and Electoral Margins on the Economy (2005)Are Political Markets Really Superior to Polls as Election Predictors? (2008)The Timeline of Elections: A Comparative Perspective (2015)Presidents and the Prospective Voter (1996)Voter Decision Making in Election 2000: Campaign Effects, Partisan Activation, and the Clinton Legacy (2003)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1978The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President971 cited
  • 1996Do Campaigns Matter?414 cited
  • 1993Forecasting elections275 cited
  • 1988An Improved Model for Predicting Presidential Election Outcomes181 cited
  • 2000Bread and Peace Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections173 cited
  • 2000Before the vote: forecasting American national elections130 cited

Cited by

  • 2015The Particularistic President103 cited
  • 2015The myopic voter? The economy and US presidential elections92 cited
  • 2015Limitations of Ensemble Bayesian Model Averaging for forecasting social science problems54 cited
  • 2014Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely41 cited
  • 2015Opinion Polling and Election Predictions22 cited
  • 2009Explaining the Horse Race of 200816 cited

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