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The effect of temporal setting on likelihood estimates · Study

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ArticleThe effect of temporal setting on likelihood estimates

Baruch Fischhoff1976

Article1976

The effect of temporal setting on likelihood estimates

Baruch Fischhoff

37 citations·0/0 files stored·Organizational Behavior and Human Performance

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Forecasting Techniques and Applications Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills

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References

1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1962Statistical principles in experimental design.1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability 1973On the psychology of prediction.1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness 1975Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.1961What Is History

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1988Research needs in forecasting 2004Exploring strategy context with foresight 1994The Hindsight Bias: The Role of the Availability Heuristic and Perceived Risk 1985Contextual effects on the calibration of probabilistic judgments.2004Twisted Pair: Counterfactual Thinking and the Hindsight Bias 1987Temporal aspects of probabilistic predictions

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Details

Year1976

Typearticle

Published1976-04-01

VenueOrganizational Behavior and Human Performance

ISSN-L0030-5073

Languageen

Citations37

Files0 public / 0

ShelfDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

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doi10.1016/0030-5073(76)90036-2

openalex_workW2044044384

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2006

The Sensitivity of Probability Assessments to Time Units and Performer Characteristics

2013Mental Simulation: Looking Back in Order to Look Ahead