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Coherent combination of experts' opinions · Study

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ArticleCoherent combination of experts' opinions

A. P. Dawid1995

Article1995

Coherent combination of experts' opinions

A. P. Dawid · Morris H. DeGroot · Julia Mortera · Roger M. Cooke · Simon French · Christian Genest +4 more

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Forecasting Techniques and Applications Probability and Statistical Research Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

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References

1951Social Choice and Individual Values.1973A Treatise on Probability 1986Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography 1983Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results 1983The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters 1961The Opinion Pool 1996Copula Models for Aggregating Expert Opinions 1982A Multiplicative Formula for Aggregating Probability Assessments

Cited by

2013Trimmed Opinion Pools and the Crowd's Calibration Problem 2019Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting 2015Modeling Probability Forecasts via Information Diversity 2007Probability Elicitation, Scoring Rules, and Competition Among Forecasters 2021Combining probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States 2015On individual risk 2020

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2011Aggregating expert judgementarticle · 6 shared references 1991Optimal Linear Opinion Poolsarticle · 5 shared references 1992A review of expert judgment techniques with reference to nuclear safetyarticle · 5 shared references 2007Aggregating Probability Distributionschapter · 4 shared references 2009A Kullback-Leibler View of Linear and Log-Linear Poolsarticle · 4 shared references 2004A Literature Review on the Use of Expert Opinion in Probabilistic Risk Analysisreport · 4 shared references

Details

Year1995

Typearticle

Published1995-12-01

VenueTest

ISSN-L1133-0686

Languageen

Citations87

Files0 public / 0

ShelfForecasting Techniques and Applications

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doi10.1007/bf02562628

openalex_workW2053372743

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Aggregating predictions from experts: A review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications

2017The wisdom of the inner crowd in three large natural experiments