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Nonlinear predictability of stock market returns: Evidence from nonparametric and threshold models
16 references·15 citing·39 second hop
Nonlinear predictability of stock market returns: Evidence from nonparametric and threshold models (2001)Nonlinear predictability of stock market …Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns (2000)Firm Size and Cyclical Variat…Mean Reversion in Stock Prices (1996)Mean Reversion in Stock PricesPredictability of Stock Returns: Robustness and Economic Significance (1995)Predictability of Stock Retur…Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive AccuracyThe Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns (1993)The Risk and Predictability o…On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)On the Relation between the E…Characterizing nonlinearities in business cycles using smooth transition autoregressive models (1992)Characterizing nonlinearities…Production-Based Asset Pricing and the Link Between Stock Returns and Economic Fluctuations (1991)Production-Based Asset Pricin…Alternative models for conditional stock volatility (1990)Alternative models for condit…Economic Significance of Predictable Variations in Stock Index Returns (1989)Economic Significance of Pred…Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Business conditions and expec…Mean reversion in stock prices (1988)Mean reversion in stock pricesMean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications (1987)Mean Reversion in Stock Price…Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Expected stock returns and vo…Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets (1986)Predicting returns in the sto…Stock Returns and the Term Structure (1985)Stock Returns and the Term St…Modelling and forecasting high-frequency data with jumps based on a hybrid nonparametric regression and LSTM model (2023)Modelling and forecasting hig…Nonlinearity in stock returns: Do risk aversion, investor sentiment and, monetary policy shocks matter? 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References

  • 1993On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks9,041 cited
  • 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
  • 1987Expected stock returns and volatility4,147 cited
  • 1989Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds3,934 cited
  • 1985Stock Returns and the Term Structure2,260 cited
  • 1988Mean reversion in stock prices1,888 cited
  • 1987Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications1,875 cited
  • 1986Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets1,715 cited
  • 1990Alternative models for conditional stock volatility1,272 cited
  • 1991Production-Based Asset Pricing and the Link Between Stock Returns and Economic Fluctuations1,125 cited
  • 1996Mean Reversion in Stock Prices1,083 cited
  • 1993The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns1,065 cited
  • 1995Predictability of Stock Returns: Robustness and Economic Significance1,034 cited
  • 1992Characterizing nonlinearities in business cycles using smooth transition autoregressive models890 cited
  • 2000Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns656 cited

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1989
Economic Significance of Predictable Variations in Stock Index Returns
597 cited

Cited by

  • 2014Networks in financial markets based on the mutual information rate150 cited
  • 2018Which Artificial Intelligence Algorithm Better Predicts the Chinese Stock Market?124 cited
  • 2018Threshold autoregressive models for interval-valued time series data100 cited
  • 2005Valuation ratios and long‐horizon stock price predictability78 cited
  • 2012Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability73 cited
  • 2009Non-linear predictability in stock and bond returns: When and where is it exploitable?71 cited
  • 2023Modelling and forecasting high-frequency data with jumps based on a hybrid nonparametric regression and LSTM model63 cited
  • 2004Non‐linear dynamics in international stock market returns47 cited
  • 2016Stock market liquidity and economic cycles: A non-linear approach44 cited
  • 2007Non-linear forecasting of stock returns: Does volume help?44 cited
  • 2020Nonlinearity in stock returns: Do risk aversion, investor sentiment and, monetary policy shocks matter?41 cited
  • 2009Do macroeconomic variables have regime-dependent effects on stock return dynamics? Evidence from the Markov regime switching model39 cited
  • 2006Nonlinear dynamics and competing behavioral interpretations: Evidence from intra‐day FTSE‐100 index and futures data37 cited
  • 2004Non‐linear Predictability of Value and Growth Stocks and Economic Activity33 cited
  • 2014Are CDS spreads predictable? An analysis of linear and non-linear forecasting models30 cited