MODELING OF DECISION MAKING AND BEHAVIOR FOR RETURNING HOME AFTER A DEVASTATING EARTHQUAKE

Toshihiro Osaragi

13 citations0/0 files storedJournal of Architecture and Planning (Transactions of AIJ)

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Earthquake and Disaster Impact Studies Facility Location and Emergency Management Evacuation and Crowd Dynamics

Abstract

In recent years, it is one of the public interests to grasp the number of people who have difficulty in returning home after a devastating earthquake. In this paper, we construct a hierarchical neural network model, which describes people's decision making on returning home. The proposed model is calibrated using data taken from questionnaire surveys, and applied to people staying in Tokyo metropolitan area. We attempt to estimate the number of people who cannot return home if traffic networks are blocked by a devastating earthquake, and also demonstrate the spatio-temporal distribution of people who have difficulty in returning home.

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2016ESTIMATING THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE RETURNING HOME ON FOOT UNDER THE TOKYO METROPOLITAN GOVERNMENT ORDINANCE 2013Empirical Study on Stop-Offs en Route Home in the Aftermath of an Earthquake Disaster in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area

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