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Ways to Assess Hindsight Bias

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References

1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
1975Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.1,841 cited
1987Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring-and-adjustment perspective on property pricing decisions1,075 cited
1997Explaining the enigmatic anchoring effect: Mechanisms of selective accessibility.981 cited
1990Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.854 cited
1974Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.801 cited
1995Measures of Anchoring in Estimation Tasks753 cited
1975I knew it would happen716 cited
1991The hindsight bias: A meta-analysis448 cited
1994The limits of anchoring392 cited
2012Cognitive Illusions268 cited
1989Thinking the Unthinkable: The Effects of Anchoring on Likelihood Estimates of Nuclear War1246 cited
1989Effects of situation familiarity and financial incentives on use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic for probability assessment241 cited
1989Outcome feedback: Hindsight and information.

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200 cited

2004A Meta-Analysis of Research on Hindsight Bias191 cited

Cited by

2007Hindsight Bias: On Being Wise After the Event117 cited
2007How many hindsight biases are there?115 cited
2012An integrative lens model approach to bias and accuracy in human inferences: Hindsight effects and knowledge updating in personality judgments.92 cited
2018Perceived partner responsiveness promotes intellectual humility70 cited
2007Cognitive Process Models of Hindsight Bias68 cited
2009Hindsight bias redefined: It’s about time52 cited
2007Did Everybody Know It All Along? A Review of Individual Differences in Hindsight Bias46 cited
2009Surprise, memory, and retrospective judgment making: Testing cognitive reconstruction theories of the hindsight bias effect.34 cited
2011Gender Role Disruption and Marital Satisfaction among Wives of Chinese International Students in the United States32 cited
2011Hindsight bias and causal reasoning: a minimalist approach25 cited
2009Event detail and confidence in gambling: The role of counterfactual thought reactions25 cited
2010Controllability and hindsight components: Understanding opposite hindsight biases for self-relevant negative event outcomes23 cited
2012Shared Visual Attention Reduces Hindsight Bias22 cited
2011Surprise influences hindsight–foresight differences in temporal judgments of animated automobile accidents17 cited
2020Hindsight bias and outcome bias in judging directors’ liability and the role of free will beliefs16 cited
2020When and Why Narcissists Exhibit Greater Hindsight Bias and Less Perceived Learning14 cited