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Forecasting presidential elections: When to change the model
16 references·0 citing·46 second hop
Forecasting presidential elections: When to change the model (2008)Forecasting presidential elections: When …THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC EVENTS ON VOTES FOR PRESIDENT: 1984 Update (2010)THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC EVENTS…Economic Models of Voting (2009)Economic Models of VotingThe Oxford Handbook of Political Behavior (2007)The Oxford Handbook of Politi…Election Forecasting: Principles and Practice (2005)Election Forecasting: Princip…Economic Performance, Job Insecurity and Electoral Choice (2002)Economic Performance, Job Ins…National Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections (2001)National Economic Voting in U…Before the vote: forecasting American national elections (2000)Before the vote: forecasting …Voting Correctly (1997)Voting CorrectlyDo Campaigns Matter? (1996)Do Campaigns Matter?Forecasting elections (1993)Forecasting electionsAnatomy of an Experimental Political Stock Market (1992)Anatomy of an Experimental Po…An Improved Model for Predicting Presidential Election Outcomes (1988)An Improved Model for Predict…The distribution of election results and the two explanations of the cost of ruling (1986)The distribution of election …Forecasting presidential elections: A comparison of naive models (1984)Forecasting presidential elec…Presidential Popularity and Presidential Vote (1982)Presidential Popularity and P…The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President (1978)The Effect of Economic Events…The “false consensus effect”: An egocentric bias in social perception and attribution processes (1977)Social Judgment: Assimilation and Contrast Effects in Communication and Attitude Change (1981)Information, trade and common knowledge (1982)Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets (2006)Experimental auctions methods and applications in economic and marketing research (2007)Stock market volatility around national elections (2008)An Economic Theory of Democracy. (1958)The Responsible Electorate (1966)A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting: Taking Account of the Political Context (1993)Reversing the Causal Arrow: The Political Conditioning of Economic Perceptions in the 2000–2004 U.S. Presidential Election Cycle (2010)The VP-function revisited: a survey of the literature on vote and popularity functions after over 40 years (2013)Populism and Liberal Democracy (2019)Political Control of the Economy (1978)Principles of forecasting : a handbook for researchers and practitioners (2001)Principles of Forecasting (2001)The Evolution of Election Polling in the United States (2011)“The Big Sort” That Wasn't: A Skeptical Reexamination (2012)Cultural Change, Slow and Fast: The Distinctive Trajectory of Norms Governing Gender Equality and Sexual Orientation (2017)An Economic Theory of Democracy (1960)Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–1964 (1971)Political budget cycles in new versus established democracies (2005)Myopic Voters and Natural Disaster Policy (2009)Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. By Morris P. Fiorina. (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1981. Pp. xii + 249. $35.00, cloth; $9.95, paper.) (1982)Throwing out the Bums: Protest Voting and Unorthodox Parties after Communism (2010)Explaining the Trump Vote: The Effect of Racist Resentment and Anti-Immigrant Sentiments (2018)Elections and the Political Order (1967)Elections and The Political Order. (1967)Bread and Peace Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections (2000)Contesting the European Union? Why the Dutch and the French Rejected the European Constitution (2010)Political Machines at Work Voter Mobilization and Electoral Subversion in the Workplace (2014)The People's Choice: How the Voter Makes Up His Mind in a Presidential Campaign (1968)Reexamining the "Minimal Effects" Model in Recent Presidential Campaigns (1993)Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable? (1993)A Spot Check: Casting Doubt on the Demobilizing Effect of Attack Advertising (1998)The Effect of TV Ads and Candidate Appearances on Statewide Presidential Votes, 1988–96 (1999)New Perspectives and Evidence on Political Communication and Campaign Effects (2000)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)FOREIGN POLICY AND THE ELECTORAL CONNECTION (2006)The Growth and Development of Experimental Research in Political Science (2006)Clearer Cues, More Consistent Voters: A Benefit of Elite Polarization (2009)Ballots and Barricades: On the Reciprocal Relationship between Elections and Social Movements (2010)Public Opinion and Public Policy (2010)How General Is Trust in “Most People”? Solving the Radius of Trust Problem (2011)Presidents and the Prospective Voter (1996)Voter Decision Making in Election 2000: Campaign Effects, Partisan Activation, and the Clinton Legacy (2003)
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References

  • 2007The Oxford Handbook of Political Behavior1,162 cited
  • 1978The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President971 cited
  • 1992Anatomy of an Experimental Political Stock Market551 cited
  • 2009Economic Models of Voting447 cited
  • 1997Voting Correctly439 cited
  • 1996Do Campaigns Matter?414 cited
  • 2001National Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections362 cited
  • 1993Forecasting elections275 cited
  • 2005Election Forecasting: Principles and Practice214 cited
  • 1988An Improved Model for Predicting Presidential Election Outcomes181 cited
  • 1984Forecasting presidential elections: A comparison of naive models137 cited
  • 2002Economic Performance, Job Insecurity and Electoral Choice136 cited
  • 1986The distribution of election results and the two explanations of the cost of ruling134 cited
  • 2000Before the vote: forecasting American national elections130 cited
  • 1982Presidential Popularity and Presidential Vote113 cited
  • 2010THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC EVENTS ON VOTES FOR PRESIDENT: 1984 Update110 cited

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