LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS AT SCHOOL‐LEAVING: LONG‐RUN EFFECTS ON MARRIAGE AND FERTILITY

Johanna Catherine Maclean · Reginald Covington · Asia Sikora Kessler

30 citations0/0 files storedContemporary Economic Policy

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Family Dynamics and Relationships Labor market dynamics and wage inequality Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics

Abstract

In this study, we assess the long‐run impact of labor market conditions at the time of school‐leaving on marriage and fertility outcomes. We draw data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979. Our sample left school between 1976 and 1989, and we use variation in the state unemployment rate at the time of school‐leaving to identify persistent effects. We find that men who left school when the state unemployment rate was high are less likely to be married and have children at age 45, but are more likely to be divorced. Women, however, are more likely to have children. (JEL J1, J2)

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2006The Quiet Revolution That Transformed Women's Employment, Education, and Family 2001Measurement Error in Survey Data 2012The Short- and Long-Term Career Effects of Graduating in a Recession 2009The long-term labor market consequences of graduating from college in a bad economy 2007Changes in the Labor Supply Behavior of Married Women: 1980–2000 1986Marriage and divorce: informational constraints and private contracting 1997Men’s career development and marriage timing during a period of rising inequality 2004Is Making Divorce Easier Bad for Children? The Long‐Run Implications of Unilateral Divorce

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