Growth, foreign investment and trade-openness interactions in ten OECD countries: a panel-VAR approach

Abstract

This paper investigates statistical relationships between economic growth, foreign direct investment (FDI) and trade openness, using panel-VAR methods in relation to ten significant OECD countries: Austria, Canada, Finland, Iceland, Ireland, Japan, Norway, Spain, Switzerland and the USA, between 1970 and 2010. We find that foreign direct investment, trade openness and economic growth are co-integrated, suggesting the presence of long-run equilibrium relationships between them. Our Granger-causality tests indicate the presence of bidirectional causality linking foreign direct investment to trade openness, with unidirectional causality from foreign direct investment to economic growth, and also from trade openness to economic growth. Significantly, the pattern of causal relationships varies between the countries we studied.

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