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Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years
16 references·16 citing·42 second hopsampled
Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)Judgmental forecasting: A review of progr…Principles of Forecasting (2001)Principles of ForecastingTimid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking (2000)Timid Choices and Bold Foreca…Evaluating Interval Forecasts (1998)Evaluating Interval ForecastsThe effects of feedback interventions on performance: A historical review, a meta-analysis, and a preliminary feedback intervention theory. (1996)The effects of feedback inter…Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking (1993)Timid Choices and Bold Foreca…Positive Accounting Theory: A Ten Year Perspective. (1990)Positive Accounting Theory: A…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Combining forecasts: A review…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)Combining forecasts: A review…Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Judgment Under Uncertainty: H…The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)The accuracy of extrapolation…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Unrealistic optimism about future life events. (1980)Unrealistic optimism about fu…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973)A New Vector Partition of the…Applied Economic Forecasting (1967)Applied Economic ForecastingOperational Research: methods and applications (2023)Operational Research: methods…A new key performance indicator model for demand forecasting in inventory management considering supply chain reliability and seasonality (2023)A new key performance indicat…Demand forecasting in supply chain: The impact of demand volatility in the presence of promotion (2020)Demand forecasting in supply …Sustainable Supply Chains in the Age of AI and Digitization: Research Challenges and Opportunities (2019)Sustainable Supply Chains in …Retail forecasting: Research and practice (2019)Retail forecasting: Research …Forecasting in social settings: The state of the art (2019)Forecasting in social setting…The human factor in supply chain forecasting: A systematic review (2018)The human factor in supply ch…Understanding algorithm aversion: When is advice from automation discounted? (2017)Understanding algorithm avers…The Credit-to-GDP Gap and Countercyclical Capital Buffers: Questions and Answers (2014)The Credit-to-GDP Gap and Cou…Evaluating early warning indicators of banking crises: Satisfying policy requirements (2014)Evaluating early warning indi…An overview of health forecasting (2012)An overview of health forecas…Spare parts classification and demand forecasting for stock control: Investigating the gap between research and practice (2011)Spare parts classification an…Demand Forecasting Behavior: System Neglect and Change Detection (2011)Demand Forecasting Behavior: …Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning (2009)Effective forecasting and jud…Forecasting and operational research: a review (2008)Forecasting and operational r…Against Your Better Judgment? How Organizations Can Improve Their Use of Management Judgment in Forecasting (2007)Against Your Better Judgment?…The Nature of the Firm (1937)Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (1976)Separation of Ownership and Control (1983)Causes and Consequences of Earnings Manipulation: An Analysis of Firms Subject to Enforcement Actions by the SEC* (1996)The conservatism principle and the asymmetric timeliness of earnings1 (1997)The economic implications of corporate financial reporting (2005)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts (1998)CAViaR (2004)CoVaR (2016)Expert judgment: Some necessary conditions and an example. (1974)The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Chapter 4 Forecast Combinations (2006)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment (2002)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics (2003)Handbook of Industrial and Organizational Psychology. (1977)A circumplex model of affect. (1980)Culture and the Self: Implications for Cognition, Emotion, and Motivation (1991)Assessment and Classroom Learning (1998)The Power of Feedback (2007)Focus on Formative Feedback (2008)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)Optimism, coping, and health: Assessment and implications of generalized outcome expectancies. (1985)Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health. (1988)Hopelessness depression: A theory-based subtype of depression. (1989)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)
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References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1996The effects of feedback interventions on performance: A historical review, a meta-analysis, and a preliminary feedback intervention theory.5,875 cited
  • 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
  • 1980Unrealistic optimism about future life events.4,996 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 1998Evaluating Interval Forecasts2,689 cited
  • 1990Positive Accounting Theory: A Ten Year Perspective.2,388 cited
  • 1989Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography2,170 cited
  • 1993Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking2,041 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1982The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition1,465 cited
  • 1990Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography1,465 cited
  • 2000Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking1,277 cited
  • 1967Applied Economic Forecasting1,206 cited
  • 2001Principles of Forecasting1,178 cited

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

  • 1973A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score1,120 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2009Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning447 cited
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    • 2011Spare parts classification and demand forecasting for stock control: Investigating the gap between research and practice249 cited
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    • 2012An overview of health forecasting181 cited
    • 2014The Credit-to-GDP Gap and Countercyclical Capital Buffers: Questions and Answers176 cited
    • 2023A new key performance indicator model for demand forecasting in inventory management considering supply chain reliability and seasonality146 cited
    • 2018The human factor in supply chain forecasting: A systematic review146 cited
    • 2019Forecasting in social settings: The state of the art145 cited
    • 2011Demand Forecasting Behavior: System Neglect and Change Detection141 cited
    • 2023Operational Research: methods and applications124 cited