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Effects of feedback on probabilistic forecasts of stock prices
16 references·2 citing·39 second hop
Effects of feedback on probabilistic forecasts of stock prices (1995)Effects of feedback on probabilistic fore…Probability judgment accuracy: China, Japan, and the United States (1989)Probability judgment accuracy…Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method (1987)Components of probability jud…Subjective confidence in forecasts (1982)Subjective confidence in fore…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score (1982)External correspondence: Deco…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Training for calibration (1980)Training for calibrationJudgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions (1975)Cognitive Processes and the A…A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973)A New Vector Partition of the…Probabilistic forecasting: An experiment related to the stock market (1972)Probabilistic forecasting: An…Scoring Rules and the Evaluation of Probability Assessors (1969)Scoring Rules and the Evaluat…THE PERFORMANCE OF MUTUAL FUNDS IN THE PERIOD 1945–1964 (1968)THE PERFORMANCE OF MUTUAL FUN…The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945-1964 (1968)The Performance of Mutual Fun…An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers (1968)An Empirical Evaluation of Ac…The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices (1965)The Behavior of Stock-Market …Calibration Feedback with the Practical Scoring Rule Does Not Improve Calibration of Confidence (2024)Calibration Feedback with the…Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)Judgmental forecasting: A rev…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)The origin of predictable behavior (1983)Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography (1986)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Measuring System Usage: Implications for IS Theory Testing (1995)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Using daily stock returns (1985)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)DISTRIBUTION OF INCOMES OF CORPORATIONS AMONG DIVIDENDS, RETAINED EARNINGS AND TAXES (1956)Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments (1959)Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares (1961)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Effects of feedback intervention on performance: A historical review, a meta-analysis, and a preliminary feedback intervention theory. (1996)Forecasting at Scale (2017)Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)M5 accuracy competition: Results, findings, and conclusions (2022)The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets (1965)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Strategic assets and organizational rent (1993)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Causation and Effectuation: Toward a Theoretical Shift from Economic Inevitability to Entrepreneurial Contingency (2001)Foundations of Language (2002)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)A Nonpragmatic Vindication of Probabilism (1998)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)How Active Is Your Fund Manager? A New Measure That Predicts Performance (2009)Luck versus Skill in the Cross‐Section of Mutual Fund Returns (2010)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1965The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices8,707 cited
  • 1968An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers6,384 cited
  • 1968THE PERFORMANCE OF MUTUAL FUNDS IN THE PERIOD 1945–19645,313 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1968The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945-19641,708 cited
  • 1973A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score1,120 cited
  • 1975Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions479 cited
  • 1982External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score434 cited
  • 1980Training for calibration382 cited
  • 1969Scoring Rules and the Evaluation of Probability Assessors270 cited
  • 1972Probabilistic forecasting: An experiment related to the stock market248 cited
  • 1982Subjective confidence in forecasts242 cited
  • 1987Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method233 cited

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1989
Probability judgment accuracy: China, Japan, and the United States
202 cited

Cited by

  • 2006Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years535 cited
  • 2024Calibration Feedback with the Practical Scoring Rule Does Not Improve Calibration of Confidence0 cited