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Retrospective analysis of uncertain eruption precursors at La Soufrière volcano, Guadeloupe, 1975–77: volcanic hazard assessment using a Bayesian Belief Network approach
7 references·7 citing·30 second hop
Retrospective analysis of uncertain eruption precursors at La Soufrière volcano, Guadeloupe, 1975–77: volcanic hazard assessment using a Bayesian Belief Network approach (2014)Retrospective analysis of uncertain erupt…BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting (2007)BET_EF: a probabilistic tool …Using Bayesian Networks to Model Expected and Unexpected Operational Losses (2005)Using Bayesian Networks to Mo…Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: The example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius (2004)Quantifying probabilities of …Evidence-based volcanology: application to eruption crises (2003)Evidence-based volcanology: a…Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods (2001)Probabilistic Risk Analysis: …Probabilistic Risk Analysis (2001)Probabilistic Risk AnalysisExperts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science (1992)Experts in uncertainty: opini…A novel multiple-expert protocol to manage uncertainty and subjective choices in probabilistic single and multi-hazard risk analyses (2024)A novel multiple-expert proto…Media views of the Stromboli 2002–2003 eruption and evacuation: a content analysis to understand framing of risk communication during a volcanic crisis (2020)Media views of the Stromboli …Event Trees and Epistemic Uncertainty in Long‐Term Volcanic Hazard Assessment of Rift Volcanoes: The Example of Aluto (Central Ethiopia) (2020)Event Trees and Epistemic Unc…Towards Quantitative Volcanic Risk of Pyroclastic Density Currents: Probabilistic Hazard Curves and Maps Around Somma‐Vesuvius (Italy) (2018)Towards Quantitative Volcanic…Political Geology: An Introduction (2018)Political Geology: An Introdu…Global volcanic hazard and risk (2015)Global volcanic hazard and ri…Santorini unrest 2011–2012: an immediate Bayesian belief network analysis of eruption scenario probabilities for urgent decision support under uncertainty (2014)Santorini unrest 2011–2012: a…Interpreting Evidence: Evaluating Forensic Science in the Courtroom (1995)Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists (1996)Disaster management: findings from a systematic review (2009)Combining long- and short-term probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment with cost-benefit analysis to support decision making in a volcanic crisis from the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand (2011)Quantifying scientific uncertainty from expert judgement elicitation (2013)Fuzzy sets (1965)Fuzzy sets (1996)The Logic of Scientific Discovery (2013)Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards (2020)Constructing event trees for volcanic crises (2001)What determines the value of life? a meta‐analysis (2002)Volcanic ash impacts on critical infrastructure (2011)Challenges of analyzing multi-hazard risk: a review (2012)Economic Perspectives (1998)Modelling Operational Risk Using Bayesian Inference (2011)Network theory-based analysis of risk interactions in large engineering projects (2012)Artificial intelligence techniques for enhancing supply chain resilience: A systematic literature review, holistic framework, and future research (2023)Polynomial Chaos in Stochastic Finite Elements (1990)The Wiener--Askey Polynomial Chaos for Stochastic Differential Equations (2002)Developing an Event Tree for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment at Vesuvius (2008)Basic principles of multi-risk assessment: a case study in Italy (2012)Future research challenges for incorporation of uncertainty in environmental and ecological decision-making (2008)A comprehensive framework for verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification in scientific computing (2011)Methods and models in process safety and risk management: Past, present and future (2015)Latin hypercube sampling and the propagation of uncertainty in analyses of complex systems (2003)The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning (2005)Survey of sampling-based methods for uncertainty and sensitivity analysis (2006)An overview of quantitative risk measures for loss of life and economic damage (2003)Climate Change: New Dimensions in Disaster Risk, Exposure, Vulnerability, and Resilience (2012)A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol (2017)
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References

  • 1992Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science1,129 cited
  • 2001Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods821 cited
  • 2001Probabilistic Risk Analysis756 cited
  • 2004Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: The example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius337 cited
  • 2007BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting259 cited
  • 2005Using Bayesian Networks to Model Expected and Unexpected Operational Losses152 cited
  • 2003Evidence-based volcanology: application to eruption crises141 cited

Cited by

  • 2015Global volcanic hazard and risk140 cited
  • 2014Santorini unrest 2011–2012: an immediate Bayesian belief network analysis of eruption scenario probabilities for urgent decision support under uncertainty45 cited
  • 2018Towards Quantitative Volcanic Risk of Pyroclastic Density Currents: Probabilistic Hazard Curves and Maps Around Somma‐Vesuvius (Italy)39 cited
  • 2020Event Trees and Epistemic Uncertainty in Long‐Term Volcanic Hazard Assessment of Rift Volcanoes: The Example of Aluto (Central Ethiopia)29 cited
  • 2018Political Geology: An Introduction23 cited
  • 2020Media views of the Stromboli 2002–2003 eruption and evacuation: a content analysis to understand framing of risk communication during a volcanic crisis11 cited
  • 2024

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A novel multiple-expert protocol to manage uncertainty and subjective choices in probabilistic single and multi-hazard risk analyses
10 cited