Are exports and imports cointegrated? Evidence from 22 least developed countries

Paresh Kumar Narayan · Seema Narayan

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Global trade and economics Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Economic Theory and Policy

Abstract

The aim of this article is to investigate whether there is a long-run relationship (cointegration) between exports and imports for 22 least developed countries (LDCs). This is an important issue, for evidence of cointegration will ensure that trade imbalances are sustainable. The article explores this issue using the bounds testing approach to cointegration. The results indicate that exports and imports are cointegrated only for six out of the 22 countries, and the coefficient on exports is less than one.

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References

2001Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships 1992Tests for Parameter Instability in Regressions with 1(1) Processes 1991IS THE BUDGET DEFICIT “TOO LARGE?”1992Tests for Parameter Instability in Regressions with I(1) Processes 2004Estimating income and price elasticities of imports for Fiji in a cointegration framework 2017Reformulating Critical Values for the Bounds F- statistics Approach to Cointegration: An Application to the Tourism Demand Model for Fiji 1992The Emerging U.S. Current Account Deficit in the 1980s: A Cointegration Analysis 2002Imports and exports in 50 countries

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