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Forecasting Stock-Return Variance: Toward an Understanding of Stochastic Implied Volatilities
16 references·16 citing·36 second hopsampled
Forecasting Stock-Return Variance: Toward an Understanding of Stochastic Implied Volatilities (1993)Forecasting Stock-Return Variance: Toward…A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options (1993)A Closed-Form Solution for Op…Stock Price Distributions with Stochastic Volatility: An Analytic Approach (1991)Stock Price Distributions wit…Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation (1991)Heteroskedasticity and Autoco…Pricing foreign currency options with stochastic volatility (1990)Pricing foreign currency opti…Persistence in Variance, Structural Change, and the GARCH Model (1990)Persistence in Variance, Stru…ARCH models as diffusion approximations (1990)ARCH models as diffusion appr…Conditional Heteroscedasticity in Time Series of Stock Returns: Evidence and Forecasts (1989)Conditional Heteroscedasticit…The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities (1987)The Pricing of Options on Ass…The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities (1987)The Pricing of Options on Ass…Option values under stochastic volatility: Theory and empirical estimates (1987)Option values under stochasti…Option Pricing when the Variance Changes Randomly: Theory, Estimation, and an Application (1987)Option Pricing when the Varia…Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Generalized autoregressive co…Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading (1985)Continuous Auctions and Insid…Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Autoregressive Conditional He…Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis (1980)Forward Exchange Rates as Opt…The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)The Pricing of Options and Co…Capturing Option Anomalies with a Variance-Dependent Pricing Kernel (2013)Capturing Option Anomalies wi…The role of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility and jumps in foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets (2010)The role of implied volatilit…Volatility Information Trading in the Option Market (2008)Volatility Information Tradin…Risk and Return in Fixed-Income Arbitrage: Nickels in Front of a Steamroller? (2006)Risk and Return in Fixed-Inco…A Theory of Volatility Spreads (2006)A Theory of Volatility SpreadsA Tale of Two Indices (2006)A Tale of Two IndicesVolatility puzzles: a simple framework for gauging return-volatility regressions (2005)Volatility puzzles: a simple …Which GARCH Model for Option Valuation? (2004)Which GARCH Model for Option …The quality of market volatility forecasts implied by S&P 100 index option prices (1998)The quality of market volatil…Estimation of stochastic volatility models via Monte Carlo maximum likelihood (1998)Estimation of stochastic vola…The incremental volatility information in one million foreign exchange quotations (1997)The incremental volatility in…Markov Switching in GARCH Processes and Mean-Reverting Stock-Market Volatility (1997)Markov Switching in GARCH Pro…The Creation and Resolution of Market Uncertainty: The Impact of Information Releases on Implied Volatility (1996)The Creation and Resolution o…20 Testing option pricing models (1995)20 Testing option pricing mod…Prediction in dynamic models with time-dependent conditional variances (1992)Prediction in dynamic models …Market volatility prediction and the efficiency of the S & P 100 index option market (1992)Market volatility prediction …Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH (1995)A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)Deutsche Mark–Dollar Volatility: Intraday Activity Patterns, Macroeconomic Announcements, and Longer Run Dependencies (1998)Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review (2003)Stock Market Volatility and Macroeconomic Fundamentals (2012)Theory of Rational Option Pricing (1973)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models (1997)Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-diffusions (2000)The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns (2006)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)ON THE PRICING OF CORPORATE DEBT: THE RISK STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES* (1974)Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (1976)Theory of rational option pricing (2005)Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy (1978)Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Movements: A Bird's Eye View (1991)Does financial liberalization spur growth? (2005)Presidential Address: Discount Rates (2011)Time Series Regression with a Unit Root (1987)Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation (1994)Emerging equity market volatility (1997)Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models (2002)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data (2001)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects (2002)THE GARCH OPTION PRICING MODEL (1995)5 Stochastic volatility (1996)The jump-risk premia implicit in options: evidence from an integrated time-series study (2002)Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility (1993)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 1973The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities29,064 cited
  • 1986Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity22,329 cited
  • 1982Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation20,684 cited
  • 1985Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading9,626 cited
  • 1993A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options8,768 cited
  • 1991Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation4,039 cited
  • 1987The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities3,864 cited
  • 1980Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis2,112 cited
  • 1991Stock Price Distributions with Stochastic Volatility: An Analytic Approach1,507 cited
  • 1990Persistence in Variance, Structural Change, and the GARCH Model1,188 cited
  • 1987The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities1,179 cited
  • 1987Option Pricing when the Variance Changes Randomly: Theory, Estimation, and an Application978 cited
  • 1990ARCH models as diffusion approximations943 cited
  • 1987Option values under stochastic volatility: Theory and empirical estimates904 cited

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1989
Conditional Heteroscedasticity in Time Series of Stock Returns: Evidence and Forecasts
856 cited
  • 1990Pricing foreign currency options with stochastic volatility749 cited
  • Cited by

    • 1998The quality of market volatility forecasts implied by S&P 100 index option prices476 cited
    • 2006A Tale of Two Indices381 cited
    • 1997Markov Switching in GARCH Processes and Mean-Reverting Stock-Market Volatility375 cited
    • 1997The incremental volatility information in one million foreign exchange quotations346 cited
    • 1998Estimation of stochastic volatility models via Monte Carlo maximum likelihood331 cited
    • 2010The role of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility and jumps in foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets310 cited
    • 2013Capturing Option Anomalies with a Variance-Dependent Pricing Kernel310 cited
    • 1992Market volatility prediction and the efficiency of the S & P 100 index option market297 cited
    • 2006A Theory of Volatility Spreads292 cited
    • 2004Which GARCH Model for Option Valuation?290 cited
    • 2008Volatility Information Trading in the Option Market287 cited
    • 2006Risk and Return in Fixed-Income Arbitrage: Nickels in Front of a Steamroller?283 cited
    • 1992Prediction in dynamic models with time-dependent conditional variances280 cited
    • 199520 Testing option pricing models269 cited
    • 1996The Creation and Resolution of Market Uncertainty: The Impact of Information Releases on Implied Volatility268 cited
    • 2005Volatility puzzles: a simple framework for gauging return-volatility regressions263 cited