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The Role of Mental Simulation in Judgments of Likelihood
16 references·16 citing·34 second hopsampled
The Role of Mental Simulation in Judgments of Likelihood (1997)The Role of Mental Simulation in Judgment…Experimental Design: Procedures for the Behavioral Sciences (2013)Experimental Design: Procedur…Oxford English dictionary (2004)Oxford English dictionarySupport theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. (1994)Support theory: A nonextensio…Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known. (1990)Hindsight: Biased judgments o…Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing. (1987)Confirmation, disconfirmation…Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Judgment Under Uncertainty: H…The simulation heuristic (1982)The simulation heuristicJudgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…The Cost of Thinking (1980)The Cost of ThinkingFault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation. (1978)Fault trees: Sensitivity of e…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. (1975)Hindsight is not equal to for…Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. (1974)Hindsight-foresight: The effe…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…Experimental Design: Procedures for the Behavioral Sciences (1970)Experimental Design: Procedur…On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task (1960)On the Failure to Eliminate H…Imagining the Future: Memory, Simulation, and Beliefs (2024)Imagining the Future: Memory,…Heuristic Methods for Updating Small World Representations in Strategic Situations of Knightian Uncertainty (2020)Heuristic Methods for Updatin…The Effect of Partner Communications of Fraud Likelihood and Skeptical Orientation on Auditors' Professional Skepticism (2016)The Effect of Partner Communi…Training Auditors to Perform Analytical Procedures Using Metacognitive Skills (2014)Training Auditors to Perform …Memory Constraints on Hypothesis Generation and Decision Making (2014)Memory Constraints on Hypothe…Individual differences in managerial accounting judgments and decision making (2014)Individual differences in man…Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment (2011)Implications of Cognitive Loa…Toward an Integrative Theory of Hypothesis Generation, Probability Judgment, and Hypothesis Testing (2010)Toward an Integrative Theory …Solving business problems using a lateral thinking approach (2010)Solving business problems usi…Causal Uncertainty and Psychological Well-Being: The Moderating Role of Accommodation (Secondary Control) (2010)Causal Uncertainty and Psycho…Troubling Futures: Scenarios and Scenario Planning for Organizational Decision Making (2009)Troubling Futures: Scenarios …The influence of improper sets of information on judgment: How irrelevant information can bias judged probability. (2006)The influence of improper set…Forecasting and Scenario Planning: The Challenges of Uncertainty and Complexity (2004)Forecasting and Scenario Plan…Correspondence to what? Coherence to what? What is good scenario-based decision making? (2003)Correspondence to what? Coher…Scenarios and Acceptance of Forecasts (2001)Scenarios and Acceptance of F…Identity Through Time (2001)Identity Through TimeSubjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Rank Correlation Methods. (1949)Rank Correlation Methods. (1957)The Logic of Scientific Discovery. 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(2003)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Prevalence of Specific Language Impairment in Kindergarten Children (1997)Fit indices in covariance structure modeling: Sensitivity to underparameterized model misspecification. (1998)Un sistema de clasificación de los diseños de investigación en psicología (2013)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)Psychological and implied contracts in organizations (1989)Mindfulness: A Proposed Operational Definition (2004)A typology of reviews: an analysis of 14 review types and associated methodologies (2009)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 2013Experimental Design: Procedures for the Behavioral Sciences8,539 cited
  • 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 2004Oxford English dictionary2,665 cited
  • 1960On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task2,104 cited
  • 1987Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing.2,095 cited
  • 1975Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.1,841 cited
  • 1982The simulation heuristic1,586 cited
  • 1994Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.1,159 cited
  • 1980The Cost of Thinking945 cited
  • 1990Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.854 cited
  • 1970Experimental Design: Procedures for the Behavioral Sciences820 cited
  • 1974Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.801 cited

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1978
Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation.
708 cited

Cited by

  • 2001Identity Through Time106 cited
  • 2003Correspondence to what? Coherence to what? What is good scenario-based decision making?97 cited
  • 2004Forecasting and Scenario Planning: The Challenges of Uncertainty and Complexity82 cited
  • 2016The Effect of Partner Communications of Fraud Likelihood and Skeptical Orientation on Auditors' Professional Skepticism72 cited
  • 2010Causal Uncertainty and Psychological Well-Being: The Moderating Role of Accommodation (Secondary Control)71 cited
  • 2014Training Auditors to Perform Analytical Procedures Using Metacognitive Skills62 cited
  • 2020Heuristic Methods for Updating Small World Representations in Strategic Situations of Knightian Uncertainty51 cited
  • 2024Imagining the Future: Memory, Simulation, and Beliefs47 cited
  • 2001Scenarios and Acceptance of Forecasts47 cited
  • 2014Memory Constraints on Hypothesis Generation and Decision Making47 cited
  • 2011Implications of Cognitive Load for Hypothesis Generation and Probability Judgment44 cited
  • 2010Solving business problems using a lateral thinking approach43 cited
  • 2010Toward an Integrative Theory of Hypothesis Generation, Probability Judgment, and Hypothesis Testing41 cited
  • 2006The influence of improper sets of information on judgment: How irrelevant information can bias judged probability.41 cited
  • 2009Troubling Futures: Scenarios and Scenario Planning for Organizational Decision Making36 cited
  • 2014Individual differences in managerial accounting judgments and decision making34 cited