MONITORING, MAPPING AND MODELLING URBAN DECLINE: A MULTI-SCALE APPROACH FOR LEIPZIG, GERMANY

Ellen Banzhaf · Annegret Kindler · Dagmar Haase

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Urbanization and City Planning Urban Planning and Valuation Remote Sensing and Land Use

Abstract

Urban remote sensing research and approaches to modelling residential mobility focus predominantly on growth patterns. In this paper, the phenomenon of extreme urban decline, named ‘shrinkage’, is scrutinised. The different characteristics of urban decline are illuminated using a multi-scale approach. Selected patterns of the spatial growth and shrinkage are first calculated by

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References

2002UrbanSim: Modeling Urban Development for Land Use, Transportation, and Environmental Planning 2005Decline and sprawl: an evolving type of urban development – observed in Liverpool and Leipzig 2005The ‘production’ of urban sprawl in eastern Germany as a phenomenon of post-socialist transformation 2003Microsimulating urban systems 2005Households matter: the quiet demography of urban transformation 2008Guidelines for the “Perfect Inner City”. Discussing the Appropriateness of Monitoring Approaches for Reurbanization 2002Towards an Urban Atlas: Assessment of Spatial Data on 25 European Cities and Urban Areas 2007Land use impacts of demographic change – lessons from Eastern German urban regions

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2012Contemporary perceptions of nine decades of depopulation in New Bedford, Massachusetts 2019Vacancy and property values in shrinking downtowns: a comparative study of three New England cities 2010Urban shrinkage : a vicious circle for residents and infrastructure? Coupling agentbased models on residential location choice and urban infrastructure development 2024A Composite Urban Blight Identification and Evaluation Index (CUBIE): A Systems-Driven Approach Based on Empirical Evidence from Kolkata, India

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