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Walter the Banker: The Conjunction Fallacy Reconsidered
10 references·5 citing·49 second hop
Walter the Banker: The Conjunction Fallacy Reconsidered (2009)Walter the Banker: The Conjunction Fallac…How the conjunction fallacy is tied to probabilistic confirmation: Some remarks on Schupbach (2009) (2009)How the conjunction fallacy i…The conjunction fallacy and the many meanings of and (2008)The conjunction fallacy and t…Probability, confirmation, and the conjunction fallacy (2008)Probability, confirmation, an…Extensional Versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment (2008)Extensional Versus Intuitive …Against Coherence (2005)Against CoherenceBayesian Epistemology (2004)Bayesian EpistemologyA probabilistic theory of coherence (2003)A probabilistic theory of coh…Coherentism, reliability and Bayesian networks (2000)Coherentism, reliability and …Is coherence truth conducive? (1999)Is coherence truth conducive?Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …Coherent lower and upper conditional previsions defined by Hausdorff inner and outer measures to represent the role of conscious and unconscious thought in human decision making (2021)Coherent lower and upper cond…Rational and Semi-Rational Explanations of the Conjunction Fallacy: A Polycausal Approach. (2017)Rational and Semi-Rational Ex…Towards a pattern-based logic of probability judgements and logical inclusion “fallacies” (2016)Towards a pattern-based logic…The Conjunction and Disjunction Fallacies: Explanations of the Linda Problem by the Equate-to-Differentiate Model (2015)The Conjunction and Disjuncti…Noisy probability judgment, the conjunction fallacy, and rationality: Comment on Costello and Watts (2014). (2015)Noisy probability judgment, t…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Biased but in Doubt: Conflict and Decision Confidence (2011)When Harry Fired Sally: The Double Standard in Punishing Misconduct (2017)A Manager and an AI Walk into a Bar: Does ChatGPT Make Biased Decisions Like We Do? (2025)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)On the reality of cognitive illusions. (1996)The environmental malleability of base-rate neglect (2020)Good Guesses (2021)The Effect of Evidential Impact on Perceptual Probabilistic Judgments (2021)An analysis of knowledge and valuation (1947)Word and Object (1960)The Structure of Empirical Knowledge. (1987)Solving the Riddle of Coherence (2003)Testimony, Credibility, and Explanatory Coherence (2005)Coherence measures and inference to the best explanation (2006)Coherence and the axioms of confirmation (1955)Intention, Plans, and Practical Reason. (1991)Probability and the Art of Judgment (1992)Bayesian rationality in evaluating multiple testimonies: Incorporating the role of coherence. (2009)Epistemology of causal inference in pharmacology (2017)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)The degree of epistemic justification and the conjunction fallacy (2009)The Psychological Basis of the Harman-Vogel Paradox (2011)Escaping Paternalism (2019)Studies in the Way of Words (1989)Speech and language processing (2010)The ‘whys’ and ‘whens’ of individual differences in thinking biases (2013)Cognitive Success: A Consequentialist Account of Rationality in Cognition (2019)A description–experience gap in statistical intuitions: Of smart babies, risk-savvy chimps, intuitive statisticians, and stupid grown-ups (2021)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)The Essential Tension (1977)The Structure of Empirical Knowledge (1988)Scientific reasoning: the Bayesian approach (1990)The Communication Structure of Epistemic Communities (2007)Economic Modelling as Robustness Analysis (2010)Scorekeeping in a language game (1979)Elusive knowledge (1996)Warranted Christian Belief (2000)REVISIONARY INTUITIONISM (2007)Hegelian Metaphysics (2009)The ‘Alice in Wonderland’ mechanics of the rejection of (climate) science: simulating coherence by conspiracism (2016)Measuring coherence (2007)
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References

  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 2004Bayesian Epistemology644 cited
  • 2008Extensional Versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment375 cited
  • 1999Is coherence truth conducive?213 cited
  • 2003A probabilistic theory of coherence168 cited
  • 2005Against Coherence158 cited
  • 2008Probability, confirmation, and the conjunction fallacy130 cited
  • 2008The conjunction fallacy and the many meanings of and125 cited
  • 2000Coherentism, reliability and Bayesian networks93 cited
  • 2009How the conjunction fallacy is tied to probabilistic confirmation: Some remarks on Schupbach (2009)22 cited

Cited by

  • 2015The Conjunction and Disjunction Fallacies: Explanations of the Linda Problem by the Equate-to-Differentiate Model14 cited
  • 2015Noisy probability judgment, the conjunction fallacy, and rationality: Comment on Costello and Watts (2014).9 cited
  • 2016Towards a pattern-based logic of probability judgements and logical inclusion “fallacies”4 cited
  • 2021Coherent lower and upper conditional previsions defined by Hausdorff inner and outer measures to represent the role of conscious and unconscious thought in human decision making3 cited

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  • 2017Rational and Semi-Rational Explanations of the Conjunction Fallacy: A Polycausal Approach.1 cited