Article2008

Predicting Recidivism in Probationers With the Youth Level of Service Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI)

Eyitayo Onifade · William S. Davidson · Christina Campbell · Garrett Turke · Jill Malinowski

179 citations0/0 files storedCriminal Justice and Behavior

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Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending Crime Patterns and Interventions Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis

Abstract

Justice systems depend on risk assessment instruments to identify juveniles who have the greatest likelihood to re-offend. This study was an attempt to validate the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory as a predictor of re-offense for young offenders between the ages of 10 and 16. Although 26% of youth in the sample ( n = 328) re-offended, there were significant differences in offense rates among juveniles classified as high risk, moderate risk, and low risk. The YLS/CMI also had a high correct classification rate, which was reflected in an AUC of .62. Finally, youth of different risk levels also showed differences in time to re-offense rates. Results indicate further study of the YLS/CMI's validity with girls and minorities is necessary. Furthermore, risk prediction could be improved by inclusion of ecological predictive variables related to delinquency.

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References

1989A developmental perspective on antisocial behavior.1988Explaining Delinquency and Drug Use 1989A developmental perspective on antisocial behavior.1973Delinquency in a Birth Cohort.1986Explaining Delinquency and Drug Use.1999Juvenile Offenders and Victims: 1999 National Report 1999Juvenile Offenders and Victims: 1999 National Report 1997Juvenile offenders and victims

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2010Comparative Analyses of the YLS/CMI, SAVRY, and PCL:YV in Adolescent Offenders: A 10-year Follow-Up Into Adulthood 2011Short and long-term prediction of recidivism using the youth level of service/case management inventory in a sample of serious young offenders.2013A Comparison of Risk Assessment Instruments in Juvenile Justice 2009Assessment of Reoffense Risk in Adolescents Who Have Committed Sexual Offenses 2009Sex offender registration and recidivism risk in juvenile sexual offenders 2010Gender differences in risk factors for violence: an examination of the predictive validity of the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth

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