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Perception of randomness and predicting uncertain events

16 references·16 citing·51 second hopsampled

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References

1998Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises7,230 cited
1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness4,876 cited
1985The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences1,648 cited
1994The Importance of the Brand in Brand Extension819 cited
1980Perseverance of social theories: The role of explanation in the persistence of discredited information.721 cited
1977Intuitive theories of events and the effects of base-rate information on prediction.503 cited
2004The hot hand fallacy and the gambler’s fallacy: Two faces of subjective randomness?471 cited
2000An Economist’s Perspective on Probability Matching405 cited
1991The perception of randomness402 cited
2002A re‐examination of probability matching and rational choice327 cited
2015A random walk down Wall Street: the time-tested strategy for successful investing317 cited
1997Making sense of randomness: Implicit encoding as a basis for judgment.280 cited
1997Randomization in individual choice behavior.192 cited
2004Randomness and inductions from streaks: “Gambler’s fallacy” versus ”hot hand“181 cited
1959Comparison of predictions and estimates in a probability learning situation.

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68 cited

1970Appreciation of conditional probabilities in binary sequences60 cited

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