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The desirability bias in predictions: Going optimistic without leaving realism · Study

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ArticleThe desirability bias in predictions: Going optimistic without leaving realism

Paul D. Windschitl2009

Article2009

The desirability bias in predictions: Going optimistic without leaving realism

Paul D. Windschitl · Andrew Robert Smith · Jason Paul Rose · Zlatan Križan

72 citations·0/0 files stored·Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Social and Intergroup Psychology Forecasting Techniques and Applications

Abstract

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Citations in this library

Stored only when both papers are in the corpus — 72 citations exist upstream.

References

1988Development and validation of brief measures of positive and negative affect: The PANAS scales.1988Development and validation of brief measures of positive and negative affect: The PANAS scales.1990The case for motivated reasoning.1988Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health.1994Distinguishing optimism from neuroticism (and trait anxiety, self-mastery, and self-esteem): A reevaluation of the Life Orientation Test.1994Behavioral inhibition, behavioral activation, and affective responses to impending reward and punishment: The BIS/BAS Scales.2008Social psychology: handbook of basic principles 1997Social psychology: handbook of basic principles

Cited by

2016Biases in future-oriented Delphi studies: A cognitive perspective 2019Expert biases in technology foresight. Why they are a problem and how to mitigate them 2011Desirability bias in foresight: Consequences for decision quality based on Delphi results 2018Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects 2012Sobering up: A quantitative review of temporal declines in expectations.2012Is Optimism Real?2012Scenarios as channels of forecast advice 2023Fast optimism, slow realism? Causal evidence for a two-step model of future thinking

Details

Year2009

Typearticle

Published2009-09-13

VenueOrganizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

ISSN-L0749-5978

Languageen

Citations72

Files0 public / 0

ShelfDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

Identifiers

doi10.1016/j.obhdp.2009.08.003

openalex_workW2137224830

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