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Paul D. Windschitl · Study
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Author
Paul D. Windschitl
52 works
· latest 2024
· 2 institutions
cluster: provisional
ORCID 0000-0002-4058-3779
Works
52 shown
Combining forecasts from advisors: The impact of advice independence and verbal versus numeric format.
Journal of Experimental Psychology General
·
2024
·
2 authors
·
Open access
1
citations
Do people desire optimism from others during a novel global crisis?
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
·
2023
·
4 authors
·
Open access
1
citations
People express more bias in their predictions than in their likelihood judgments.
Journal of Experimental Psychology General
·
2022
·
6 authors
·
Open access
7
citations
The desirability bias in predictions under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty
Cognition
·
2022
·
6 authors
·
Open access
5
citations
Do People Prescribe Optimism, Overoptimism, or Neither?
Psychological Science
·
2021
·
4 authors
12
citations
Attributions for ambiguity in a treatment‐decision context can create ambiguity aversion or seeking
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
·
2021
·
6 authors
·
Open access
6
citations
Do People Prescribe Optimism, Overoptimism, or Neither?
·
2021
·
4 authors
·
preprint
·
Open access
2
citations
Context dependency in risky decision making: Is there a description-experience gap?
PLoS ONE
·
2021
·
6 authors
·
Open access
6
citations
The effects of tool comparisons when estimating the likelihood of task success
Judgment and Decision Making
·
2021
·
7 authors
·
Open access
1
citations
An integrated approach to biases in referent-specific judgments
Thinking & Reasoning
·
2019
·
3 authors
·
Open access
5
citations
Unhealthy and unaware? Misjudging social comparative standing for health-relevant behavior
Journal of Experimental Social Psychology
·
2019
·
4 authors
·
Open access
8
citations
Prescribed (Over)Optimism Study 1
OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints)
·
2018
·
4 authors
·
preprint
·
Open access
1
citations
Risk it? Direct and collateral impacts of peers' verbal expressions about hazard likelihoods
Thinking & Reasoning
·
2017
·
4 authors
·
Open access
6
citations
Optimism Biases
·
2015
·
2 authors
·
other
43
citations
Behaving Optimistically: How the (Un)Desirability of an Outcome Can Bias People's Preparations for It
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
·
2015
·
4 authors
·
Open access
9
citations
Resisting anchoring effects: The roles of metric and mapping knowledge
Memory & Cognition
·
2015
·
2 authors
·
Open access
18
citations
Egocentrism in Judging the Effectiveness of Treatments
Basic and Applied Social Psychology
·
2013
·
4 authors
1
citations
Knowledge matters: Anchoring effects are moderated by knowledge level
European Journal of Social Psychology
·
2012
·
3 authors
·
Open access
88
citations
Why so confident? The influence of outcome desirability on selective exposure and likelihood judgment
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
·
2012
·
4 authors
·
Open access
38
citations
Debiasing egocentrism and optimism biases in repeated competitions
Judgment and Decision Making
·
2012
·
3 authors
·
Open access
6
citations
Hope to be right: Biased information seeking following arbitrary and informed predictions
Journal of Experimental Social Psychology
·
2012
·
3 authors
·
Open access
22
citations
Hoping for more: The influence of outcome desirability on information seeking and predictions about relative quantities
Cognition
·
2012
·
4 authors
·
Open access
10
citations
Biased calculations: Numeric anchors influence answers to math equations
Judgment and Decision Making
·
2011
·
2 authors
·
Open access
26
citations
The desirability bias in predictions: Going optimistic without leaving realism
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
·
2009
·
4 authors
72
citations
Wishful Thinking about the Future: Does Desire Impact Optimism?
Social and Personality Psychology Compass
·
2009
·
2 authors
78
citations
Cultural Differences in Unrealistic Optimism and Pessimism: The Role of Egocentrism and Direct Versus Indirect Comparison Measures
Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin
·
2008
·
4 authors
76
citations
Knowing Too Much
Psychological Science
·
2008
·
4 authors
41
citations
The Interpretation of 'Likely' Depends on the Context, But 70% is 70% - Right? The Influence of Associative Processes on Perceived Certainty
SSRN Electronic Journal
·
2008
·
2 authors
·
preprint
·
Open access
73
citations
Are people excessive or judicious in their egocentrism? A modeling approach to understanding bias and accuracy in people's optimism.
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
·
2008
·
4 authors
·
Open access
56
citations
Direct-comparison judgments: When and why above- and below-average effects reverse.
Journal of Experimental Psychology General
·
2008
·
3 authors
24
citations
How egocentrism and optimism change in response to feedback in repeated competitions
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
·
2007
·
2 authors
30
citations
The rational side of egocentrism in social comparisons
Journal of Experimental Social Psychology
·
2007
·
5 authors
·
Open access
81
citations
The influence of outcome desirability on optimism.
Psychological Bulletin
·
2007
·
2 authors
287
citations
Contingent approaches to making likelihood judgments about polychotomous cases: the influence of task factors
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
·
2005
·
2 authors
5
citations
Biases in Social Comparative Judgments: The Role of Nonmotivated Factors in Above-Average and Comparative-Optimism Effects.
Psychological Bulletin
·
2004
·
2 authors
546
citations
The Dud-Alternative Effect in Likelihood Judgment.
Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory and Cognition
·
2004
·
2 authors
51
citations
Egocentrism, Event Frequency, and Comparative Optimism: When what Happens Frequently is “More Likely to Happen to Me”
Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin
·
2003
·
3 authors
205
citations
The influence of reasons on interpretations of probability forecasts
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
·
2003
·
2 authors
23
citations
The Influence of Egocentrism and Focalism on People's Optimism in Competitions: When What Affects Us Equally Affects Me More.
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
·
2003
·
3 authors
204
citations
Egocentrism, event frequency, and unrealistic optimism: When what happens frequently is "more likely to happen to me"
PsycEXTRA Dataset
·
2003
·
2 authors
·
dataset
5
citations
Likelihood judgment based on previously observed outcomes: the alternative-outcomes effect in a learning paradigm
Memory & Cognition
·
2002
·
3 authors
·
Open access
18
citations
Judging the accuracy of a likelihood judgment: the case of smoking risk
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
·
2002
·
1 author
122
citations
Context and the interpretation of likelihood information: The role of intergroup comparisons on perceived vulnerability.
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
·
2002
·
3 authors
63
citations
The Influence of Alternative Outcomes on Gut-Level Perceptions of Certainty
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
·
2001
·
2 authors
23
citations
The Binary Additivity of Subjective Probability Does not Indicate the Binary Complementarity of Perceived Certainty
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
·
2000
·
1 author
26
citations
Stimulus Sampling and Social Psychological Experimentation
Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin
·
1999
·
2 authors
686
citations
The interpretation of "likely" depends on the context, but "70%" is 70%--right? The influence of associative processes on perceived certainty.
Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory and Cognition
·
1999
·
2 authors
72
citations
The interpretation of "likely" depends on the context, but "70%" is 70%—right? The influence of associative processes on perceived certainty.
Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory and Cognition
·
1999
·
2 authors
71
citations
The alternative-outcomes effect.
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
·
1998
·
2 authors
99
citations
The alternative-outcomes effect.
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
·
1998
·
2 authors
5
citations
Base rates do not constrain nonprobability judgments
Behavioral and Brain Sciences
·
1996
·
2 authors
32
citations
Measuring psychological uncertainty: Verbal versus numeric methods.
Journal of Experimental Psychology Applied
·
1996
·
2 authors
325
citations