Jyotish: A novel framework for constructing predictive model of people movement from joint Wifi/Bluetooth trace

Abstract

It is well known that people movement exhibits a high degree of repetition since people visit regular places and make regular contacts for their daily activities. This paper presents a novel framework named Jyotish, which constructs a predictive model by exploiting the regular pattern of people movement found in real joint Wifi/Bluetooth trace. The constructed model is able to answer three fundamental questions: (1) where the person will stay, (2) how long she will stay at the location, and (3) who she will meet. In order to construct the predictive model, Jyotish includes an efficient clustering algorithm to exploit regularity of people movement and cluster Wifi access point information in Wifi trace into locations. Then, we construct a Naive Bayesian classifier to assign these locations to records in Bluetooth trace. Next, the Bluetooth trace with assigned locations is used to construct predictive model including location predictor, stay duration predictor, and contact predictor to provide answers for three questions above. Finally, we evaluate the constructed predictors over real Wifi/Bluetooth trace collected by 50 participants in University of Illinois campus from March to August 2010. Evaluation results show that Jyotish successfully constructs a predictive model, which provides a considerably high prediction accuracy of people movement.

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