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Implications of the research on expert overconfidence and dependence · Study

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ArticleImplications of the research on expert overconfidence and dependence

Vicki Marion Bier2004

Article2004

Implications of the research on expert overconfidence and dependence

Vicki Marion Bier

36 citations·0/0 files stored·Reliability Engineering & System Safety

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Forecasting Techniques and Applications Multi-Criteria Decision Making Risk and Safety Analysis

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References

1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1975the delphi method: techniques and applications 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases 1986Decision analysis and behavioral research 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 1976The Delphi method: Techniques and applications 1994The psychology of judgment and decision making 1992Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science

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2021Quantile Judgments of Lognormal Losses: An Experimental Investigation 2018Cognitive Biases

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2007A study of expert overconfidencearticle · 13 shared references 2007Aggregating Probability Distributionschapter · 12 shared references 2007Perspectives on Expertise in the Aggregation of Judgmentschapter · 11 shared references 2002Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Abilitychapter · 9 shared references 2007The Trouble With Overconfidencepreprint · 9 shared references 1988A critique of current practice for the use of expert opinions in probabilistic risk assessmentarticle · 9 shared references

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Year2004

Typearticle

Published2004-04-13

VenueReliability Engineering & System Safety

ISSN-L0951-8320

Languageen

Citations36

Files0 public / 0

ShelfForecasting Techniques and Applications

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doi10.1016/j.ress.2004.03.020

openalex_workW2139654160

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